CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
Referee: D. Cerny
Baník Ostrava
Match Timeline
Plzen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
P. Adu · Assist: A. Memic
Plzen
🔄
46'
M. Rusnak ↔ D. Holzer
Baník Ostrava
🔄
59'
A. Bewene ↔ F. Sancl
Baník Ostrava
🔄
60'
J. Panos ↔ M. Valenta
Plzen
🔄
61'
T. Ladra ↔ A. Sojka
Plzen
🔄
72'
K. Spacil ↔ A. Kadlec
Plzen
🔄
72'
P. Adu ↔ M. Toure
Plzen
🔄
74'
V. Jurecka ↔ J. Pira
Baník Ostrava
🟨
75'
Jakub Pira
Baník Ostrava
🔄
82'
J. Boula ↔ A. Musak
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
A. Memic ↔ M. Vydra
Plzen
🟨
89'
Michal Frydrych
Baník Ostrava
🟨
90+4'
Abdallah Gning
Baník Ostrava
🟨
90+4'
Adam Kadlec
Plzen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Baník Ostrava Win 35.2%
Draw 10.8%
Plzen Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baník Ostrava0.99
Plzen1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WWDLW
33 GF / 55 GA
Plzen Plzen
WLDWL
65 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
15
BTTS Yes
21
11
Over 2.5
21
3.83
Shots on Goal
5.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 35 matches
Plzen Plzen 43 matches
Baník Ostrava Statistic Plzen
6 Wins 19
9 Draws 15
20 Losses 9
33 Goals For 65
55 Goals Against 46
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
15 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 32
11 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 15
17 Failed To Score 12
3.83 Shots On Goal 5.58
12.09 Total Shots 15.6
4.89 Corners 5.4
46.2% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Plzen's more proactive style and Baník Ostrava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Plzen. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Plzen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 50 points while Baník Ostrava sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baník Ostrava expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Plzen in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plzen having the stronger overall control. Baník Ostrava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

Baník Ostrava sit 15 with 22 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 25:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from David Planka (4 assists), V. Jurecka (3 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Plzen Analysis

Plzen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 50 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 49:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Durosinmi (7 goals), D. Visinsky (6 goals), M. Vydra (6 goals), with creative support from A. Memic (7 assists), T. Ladra (6 assists), C. Souare (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baník Ostrava won 3 times, Plzen won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:27 from Baník Ostrava's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1 / Plzen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Baník Ostrava wins 3, draws 2, Plzen wins 10
Stats
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
Plzen Plzen
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
4 Corner Kicks 8
15 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 4
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 6
8 Shots insidebox 9
1 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
341 Total passes 377
255 Passes accurate 316
1.19 expected_goals 1.03
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Baník Ostrava
Formation
Plzen
M. Jedlicka
M. Jedlicka
J. Boula
J. Boula
M. Frydrych
M. Frydrych
K. Pojezny
K. Pojezny
M. Rusnak
M. Rusnak
D. Planka
D. Planka
O. Kricfalusi
O. Kricfalusi
V. Sinyavskiy
V. Sinyavskiy
V. Jurecka
V. Jurecka
A. Bewene
A. Bewene
A. Gning
A. Gning
F. Wiegele
F. Wiegele
D. Krcik
D. Krcik
S. Dweh
S. Dweh
K. Spacil
K. Spacil
A. Memic
🎯
A. Memic
L. Cerv
L. Cerv
P. Hrosovsky
P. Hrosovsky
D. Visinsky
D. Visinsky
J. Panos
J. Panos
T. Ladra
T. Ladra
P. Adu
P. Adu
Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
M. Jedlicka
G
5
J. Boula
↓ 82'
D
17
M. Frydrych
🟨 89'
D
6
K. Pojezny
D
66
M. Rusnak
↓ 46'
M
18
D. Planka
M
80
O. Kricfalusi
M
99
V. Sinyavskiy
M
15
V. Jurecka
↓ 74'
F
34
A. Bewene
↓ 59'
F
12
A. Gning
🟨 90+4'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Budinsky
G
95
D. Holzer
↑ 46'
M
77
L. Almasi
F
9
D. Buchta
M
25
D. Owusu
M
55
A. Musak
↑ 82'
M
3
H. Kante
D
20
P. Ortiz
D
19
F. Sancl
↑ 59'
M
29
J. Pira
↑ 74' 🟨 75'
F
2
M. Havran
M
Plzen 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
44
F. Wiegele
G
37
D. Krcik
D
40
S. Dweh
D
5
K. Spacil
↓ 72'
D
99
A. Memic
🎯 35' ↓ 87'
M
6
L. Cerv
M
17
P. Hrosovsky
M
9
D. Visinsky
M
20
J. Panos
↓ 60'
F
18
T. Ladra
↓ 61'
F
80
P. Adu
⚽ 35' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
13
M. Tvrdon
G
1
D. Tapaj
G
11
M. Vydra
↑ 87'
F
32
M. Valenta
↑ 60'
M
12
A. Sojka
↑ 61'
M
19
C. Souare
M
16
A. Kadlec
↑ 72' 🟨 90+4'
D
29
T. Sloncik
M
10
M. Toure
↑ 72'
F
21
V. Jemelka
D
51
D. Vasulin
F
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
18.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
AS Trencin
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Miedz Legnica
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
30.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
5
0
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
1
4
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
28.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
2
5
L
Last matches: Plzen
14.07.26
Fri
Plzen
Polessya
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Plzen
BSC Young Boys
3
5
L
07.07.26
Fri
Plzen
FC Copenhagen
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
Plzen
Spartak Trnava
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Plzen
Artis
4
2
W
24.05.26
Cze
Plzen
Slavia Praha
0
3
L
17.05.26
Cze
Plzen
FK Jablonec
5
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Plzen
Sparta Praha
0
0
D
09.05.26
Cze
Plzen
Slovan Liberec
2
0
W
03.05.26
Cze
Plzen
Hradec Králové
3
1
W
19.04.26
Cze
Plzen
Pardubice
0
1
L
12.04.26
Cze
Plzen
Slavia Praha
0
0
D
04.04.26
Cze
Plzen
Teplice
2
2
D
15.03.26
Cze
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
2
0
W
08.03.26
Cze
Plzen
Hradec Králové
3
0
W
01.03.26
Cze
Plzen
Zlin
0
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Plzen
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
22.02.26
Cze
Plzen
Sparta Praha
0
0
D
19.02.26
UEF
Plzen
Panathinaikos
2
2
D
14.02.26
Cze
Plzen
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
H2H: Baník Ostrava vs Plzen
25.04.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
26.10.25
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
2
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
1
2
W
16.03.25
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
1
3
L
18.05.24
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
13.02.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
3
1
L
16.04.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
2
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
3
1
L
15.05.22
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
1
0
L
17.04.22
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
2
1
L
20.11.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
2
2
D
23.05.21
H2H
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
4
0
L
31.01.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
2
L
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
22.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
13.12.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Pardubice
1
4
L
29.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
1
W
08.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
19.10.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
27.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
17.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
1
D
13.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovan Liberec
0
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Baník Ostrava
Celje
0
2
L
24.08.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
2
0
W
10.08.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Karviná
1
2
L
H2H at home: Baník Ostrava
25.04.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
1
3
L
13.02.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
16.04.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
2
1
W
20.11.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
2
2
D
31.01.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
2
L
Last matches: Plzen
24.05.26
Cze
Plzen
Slavia Praha
0
3
L
12.05.26
Cze
Plzen
Sparta Praha
0
0
D
12.04.26
Cze
Plzen
Slavia Praha
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cze
Plzen
Hradec Králové
3
0
W
01.03.26
Cze
Plzen
Zlin
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Plzen
Panathinaikos
2
2
D
14.02.26
Cze
Plzen
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
01.02.26
Cze
Plzen
Karviná
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Plzen
FC Basel 1893
1
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
Plzen
FC Lugano
4
2
W
11.12.25
UEF
Plzen
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
06.12.25
Cze
Plzen
Slovácko
0
3
L
23.11.25
Cze
Plzen
FK Jablonec
3
3
D
02.11.25
Cze
Plzen
Teplice
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
Plzen
AS Roma
2
1
W
18.10.25
Cze
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
1
0
W
25.09.25
UEF
Plzen
Ferencvarosi TC
1
1
D
20.09.25
Cze
Plzen
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
31.08.25
Cze
Plzen
Slovan Liberec
1
1
D
19.08.25
Cze
Plzen
Mlada Boleslav
5
0
W
H2H away: Plzen
25.04.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
1
3
W
13.02.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
W
16.04.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
2
1
L
20.11.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
2
2
D
31.01.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
2
W

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3
Plzen Away
30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12 30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round