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06.10.2026 00:15
Estadio Florencio Sola
Referee: L. Rey Hilfer
Banfield
Match Timeline
Rosario Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Tomas Adoryan
Banfield
🔄
17'
G. Duarte ↔ J. Fernandez
Rosario Central
🔄
24'
L. Gomez ↔ L. Pinero
Banfield
🟨
30'
Federico Navarro
Rosario Central
⚽
41'
T. Adoryan · Assist: D. Zalazar
Banfield
🔄
68'
D. Zalazar ↔ L. Villegas
Banfield
🟨
76'
Emanuel Coronel
Rosario Central
⚽
80'
G. Cantizano · Assist: F. Ibarra
Rosario Central
🔄
81'
↔ M. Ruben
Rosario Central
🔄
82'
E. Coronel ↔ E. Veron
Rosario Central
🟨
83'
Santiago Esquivel
Banfield
🔄
83'
T. Adoryan ↔ N. Pais
Banfield
🔄
83'
A. Balboa ↔ M. Hernandez
Banfield
🔄
89'
A. Soto ↔ S. Zaracho
Rosario Central
🔄
89'
E. Copetti ↔ T. Badaloni
Rosario Central

Banfield vs Rosario Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Banfield Win 29.3%
Draw 4.9%
Rosario Central Win 65.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Banfield1.03
Rosario Central1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Banfield Banfield
WWDLW
35 GF / 39 GA
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WLDWL
47 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
17
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
17
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Banfield Banfield 30 matches
Rosario Central Rosario Central 39 matches
Banfield Statistic Rosario Central
8 Wins 20
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 10
35 Goals For 47
39 Goals Against 32
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
17 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 16
8 Failed To Score 11
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.81
11.38 Total Shots 13.76
3.27 Corners 5.38
39% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Rosario Central's more proactive style and Banfield's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Banfield have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Rosario Central carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 28 points while Banfield sit 12 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rosario Central. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Banfield expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Rosario Central in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rosario Central having the stronger overall control.

Banfield Analysis

Banfield sit 12 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 17:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tiziano Perrotta (3 goals), Bruno Sepúlveda (3 goals), Lautaro Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from Santiago López Garcia (2 assists), David Zalazar (1 assists), Ignacio Abraham (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rosario Central Analysis

Placed 4 with 28 points from 16 outings, Rosario Central continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ángel Di María (4 goals), Enzo Copetti (3 goals), Gastón Ávila (2 goals), with creative support from Ángel Di María (2 assists), Franco Ibarra (2 assists), C. Quintana (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Banfield won 7 times, Rosario Central won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Banfield's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Banfield 3-4-1-2 / Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Banfield wins 7, draws 4, Rosario Central wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L D W W L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D W L D D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D D D W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W W W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L W W L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W L D W L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W D D D L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D L L L W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L W L W
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L L
Knockout Phase