Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.34
Sao Paulo1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia
WWDLW
33 GF / 28 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
14
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
7
5
Shots on Goal
4.11
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
22 matches
Sao Paulo
18 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 33 | Goals For | 23 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 13.75 | Total Shots | 11.83 |
| 5.95 | Corners | 6.56 |
| 56.2% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 4 times, Sao Paulo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Bahia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 4, draws 5, Sao Paulo wins 6
Last matches: Bahia
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H: Bahia vs Sao Paulo
03.05.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
0
L
31.05.25
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
06.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
3
L
30.06.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
3
1
L
29.11.23
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
30.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
07.11.21
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
10.07.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
0
L
28.11.20
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
3
L
20.08.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
1
D
10.10.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
30.05.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
23.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
1
W
19.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
Last matches: Bahia
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bahia
31.05.25
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
06.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
3
L
29.11.23
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
07.11.21
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
28.11.20
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
3
L
10.10.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
30.05.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
31.05.25
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
06.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
3
W
29.11.23
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
1
W
07.11.21
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
28.11.20
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
3
W
10.10.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
30.05.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B