Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.36
Sao Paulo1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia
WWDLW
49 GF / 40 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
32 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
21
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
10
4.8
Shots on Goal
4.07
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
32 matches
Sao Paulo
27 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 49 | Goals For | 32 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.8 | Shots On Goal | 4.07 |
| 14.27 | Total Shots | 12.89 |
| 5.6 | Corners | 6.56 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 4 times, Sao Paulo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Bahia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 4, draws 5, Sao Paulo wins 6
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Bahia
Home
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B