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BRAZIL › SERIE A
29.10.2026 00:30
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.31
Sao Paulo1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
50 GF / 44 GA
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WLDWL
36 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
21
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
12
4.55
Shots on Goal
4.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 35 matches
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 31 matches
Bahia Statistic Sao Paulo
15 Wins 12
10 Draws 6
10 Losses 13
50 Goals For 36
44 Goals Against 35
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
21 BTTS Yes 17
28 Over 1.5 23
18 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 7
4.55 Shots On Goal 4.16
14.03 Total Shots 13.42
5.48 Corners 6.71
54.8% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 4 times, Sao Paulo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Bahia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 4, draws 5, Sao Paulo wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 20 7 4 61:25 36 67
W W D W W
2 31 19 9 3 54:22 32 66
W W W D W
3 31 15 8 8 49:37 12 53
L W D W D
4 31 15 6 10 50:46 4 51
W L W W L
5 31 14 9 8 49:39 10 51
L L W W L
6 31 14 8 9 42:35 7 50
W W D W D
7
Bahia Home
31 13 10 8 44:39 5 49
L W L L W
8 31 12 9 10 48:46 2 45
W L D W W
9 31 12 6 13 36:35 1 42
W W L L W
10 31 11 8 12 39:36 3 41
D W D L L
11 31 10 9 12 44:48 -4 39
W D L L W
12 31 10 9 12 38:49 -11 39
L D L L D
13 31 10 7 14 34:45 -11 37
D L W L D
14 31 9 9 13 36:44 -8 36
W L D W D
15 30 9 8 13 36:43 -7 35
L D W W W
16 31 8 9 14 32:39 -7 33
D L L L L
17 31 7 11 13 33:40 -7 32
L D W L W
18 31 7 10 14 34:44 -10 31
L D D D L
19 31 5 11 15 34:49 -15 26
D D D L L
20 30 3 9 18 30:62 -32 18
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B