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BRAZIL › SERIE A
22.11.2026 21:00
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Coritiba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Coritiba Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.52
Coritiba1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
50 GF / 41 GA
Coritiba Coritiba
WLDWL
38 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
21
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
16
4.59
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 34 matches
Coritiba Coritiba 30 matches
Bahia Statistic Coritiba
15 Wins 10
10 Draws 9
9 Losses 11
50 Goals For 38
41 Goals Against 48
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
21 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 9
4.59 Shots On Goal 3.33
14.19 Total Shots 11.17
5.53 Corners 3.73
55.4% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 4 times, Coritiba won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Coritiba 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 4, draws 8, Coritiba wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
2 30 18 9 3 52:22 30 63
W W D W D
3 30 15 8 7 49:35 14 53
W D W D L
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5
Bahia Home
30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
6 30 14 6 10 46:44 2 48
L W W L W
7 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 7 12 38:35 3 40
W D L L D
10 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
11 30 10 9 11 38:48 -10 39
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 30 9 9 12 43:48 -5 36
D L L W D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 30 8 9 13 34:44 -10 33
L D W D W
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 30 7 11 12 33:38 -5 32
D W L W L
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 29 3 9 17 30:61 -31 18
L L D L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B