Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Coritiba Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.46
Coritiba1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia
WWDLW
34 GF / 29 GA
Coritiba
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
15
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
9
4.76
Shots on Goal
3.11
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
23 matches
Coritiba
19 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 25 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.76 | Shots On Goal | 3.11 |
| 13.1 | Total Shots | 9.63 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 3.05 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 36.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 4 times, Coritiba won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Coritiba 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 4, draws 8, Coritiba wins 3
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
Last matches: Coritiba
22.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H: Bahia vs Coritiba
25.05.26
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
L
14.09.23
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
2
4
W
07.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
3
1
W
16.11.20
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
1
2
W
12.08.20
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
1
0
W
30.09.17
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
1
1
D
15.06.17
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
0
0
D
07.12.14
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
L
07.09.14
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
15.09.13
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
2
2
D
30.05.13
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
14.10.12
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
2
1
L
22.07.12
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
2
2
D
16.10.11
H2H
Coritiba
Bahia
0
0
D
24.07.11
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
Last matches: Bahia
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bahia
07.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
3
1
W
12.08.20
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
1
0
W
30.09.17
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
1
1
D
07.09.14
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
30.05.13
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
22.07.12
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
2
2
D
24.07.11
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
Last matches: Coritiba
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Coritiba
07.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
3
1
L
12.08.20
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
1
0
L
30.09.17
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
1
1
D
07.09.14
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
30.05.13
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
22.07.12
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
2
2
D
24.07.11
H2H
Bahia
Coritiba
0
0
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 |
Coritiba
Away
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B