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05.12.2026 19:00
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Draw 0%
PSV Eindhoven Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AZ Alkmaar1.78
PSV Eindhoven2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
WWDLW
35 GF / 20 GA
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
WLDWL
44 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
2.59
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
12
6.18
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 17 matches
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 17 matches
AZ Alkmaar Statistic PSV Eindhoven
10 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
35 Goals For 44
20 Goals Against 23
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 2.59
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
10 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
6.18 Shots On Goal 6.25
16.55 Total Shots 18.08
7.45 Corners 6.42
58.9% Ball Possession 59.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 6 times, PSV Eindhoven won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:27 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1 / PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AZ Alkmaar wins 6, draws 1, PSV Eindhoven wins 7

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 31:10 21 23
W W W W W
2 9 6 2 1 20:10 10 20
D L W D W
3 9 6 1 2 27:12 15 19
L W L W W
4 9 5 3 1 27:12 15 18
W D D W W
5 9 5 2 2 17:10 7 17
L D W W W
6 9 4 3 2 16:17 -1 15
D D W L W
7 9 4 2 3 22:19 3 14
L W W D D
8 9 3 3 3 15:11 4 12
W L W D L
9 9 2 5 2 20:21 -1 11
L D D D D
10 9 3 2 4 16:18 -2 11
L L D L D
11 9 3 2 4 16:26 -10 11
W W L W D
12 9 2 4 3 15:16 -1 10
D D D L D
13 9 2 3 4 16:22 -6 9
W D L L D
14 9 2 3 4 13:21 -8 9
D W D W D
15 9 2 1 6 10:22 -12 7
W L L L D
16 9 1 3 5 10:18 -8 6
L D L D L
17 9 1 3 5 11:20 -9 6
W D D L L
18 9 0 2 7 9:26 -17 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie