Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Avai
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Avai
16 matches
Nautico Recife
16 matches
| Avai | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 16 | Goals For | 21 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.06 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 10.19 | Total Shots | 16.56 |
| 3.19 | Corners | 6.06 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 59.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Nautico Recife's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
With 13 points from 15 games and a place of 18, Avai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 15:21 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), Jean Lucas (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (2 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), DG (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nautico Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 20 points from 15 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 21:19, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Vinícius (4 goals), Dodô (2 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 6 times, Nautico Recife won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:9 from Avai's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.
Avai
3
1
7
12
5
3
Lineups
Avai
Juventude
Avai
America Mineiro
Avai
São Bernardo
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Cuiaba
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Ceara
Avai
Criciuma
Avai
Goias
Avai
Vila Nova
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Novorizontino
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Sport Recife
Avai
Operario-PR
Avai
CRB
Avai
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Avai
America Mineiro
Avai
Cuiaba
Avai
Criciuma
Avai
Goias
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Novorizontino
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Operario-PR
Avai
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 40 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 27 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 |
Avai
Home
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 19 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | -24 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
L
|