BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil
Avai
Live Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
DG · Assist: Wallison
Avai

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
1.40
BTTS Yes
75%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.04
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 30%
Draw 18.6%
Nautico Recife Win 51.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.08
Nautico Recife1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
16 GF / 24 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
8
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
6
3.06
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 16 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 16 matches
Avai Statistic Nautico Recife
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
9 Losses 7
16 Goals For 21
24 Goals Against 19
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 7
3.06 Shots On Goal 4.69
10.19 Total Shots 16.56
3.19 Corners 6.06
50.4% Ball Possession 59.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Nautico Recife's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Avai Analysis

With 13 points from 15 games and a place of 18, Avai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 15:21 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), Jean Lucas (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (2 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), DG (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 20 points from 15 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 21:19, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Vinícius (4 goals), Dodô (2 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 5 times, Nautico Recife won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:9 from Avai's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 5, draws 1, Nautico Recife wins 2
Stats
Avai Avai
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
3 Corner Kicks 0
8 Fouls 3
3 Offsides 2
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
115 Total passes 212
81 Passes accurate 178
1.86 expected_goals 0.20
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
Nautico Recife
Igor Bohn
Igor Bohn
Wallison
🎯
Wallison
Allyson
Allyson
Jefferson Maciel
Jefferson Maciel
Douglas Teixeira
Douglas Teixeira
Zé Ricardo
Zé Ricardo
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Thayllon Roberth
Thayllon Roberth
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Sorriso
Sorriso
Daniel Penha
Daniel Penha
Muriel
Muriel
Matheus Ribeiro
Matheus Ribeiro
Wanderson
Wanderson
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Wenderson
Wenderson
Todinho
Todinho
Leonai
Leonai
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Victor Andrade
Victor Andrade
Derek Freitas
Derek Freitas
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Igor Bohn
G
2
Wallison
🎯 7'
D
3
Allyson
D
38
Jefferson Maciel
D
36
Douglas Teixeira
⚽ 7'
D
77
Zé Ricardo
M
8
Luiz Henrique
M
43
Thayllon Roberth
M
10
Jean Lucas
M
11
Sorriso
M
14
Daniel Penha
F
Substitutes
21
Otávio
G
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
66
Mateus Quaresma
D
56
William Fernando
D
4
Gabriel Pereira Simples
D
50
Joao Victor
D
15
Guilherme Aquino
D
16
Jamerson dos Santos Nascimento
M
95
Wenderson
M
17
Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro
F
90
Kevin
M
29
Marcio Vitor
F
Nautico Recife 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel
G
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
34
Wanderson
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
8
Wenderson
M
29
Todinho
M
22
Leonai
M
27
Luiz Felipe
M
11
Victor Andrade
M
72
Derek Freitas
F
Substitutes
55
Gastón Guruceaga
G
66
Léo Jance
D
60
Luiz Paulo
D
93
Reginaldo
D
41
Samuel
M
18
Halan
M
30
Felipe Cardoso
M
15
Léo Índio
M
5
Auremir
M
19
Kauã Maranhão
F
16
Luiz Claudio
F
Last matches: Avai
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H: Avai vs Nautico Recife
21.11.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
Avai
1
2
W
14.08.21
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.11.20
H2H
Nautico Recife
Avai
2
2
D
09.08.20
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
3
1
W
12.11.16
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
23.07.16
H2H
Nautico Recife
Avai
3
1
L
04.10.14
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
0
2
L
28.05.14
H2H
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
1
W
Last matches: Avai
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
14.08.21
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
09.08.20
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
3
1
W
12.11.16
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
04.10.14
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
0
2
L
Last matches: Nautico Recife
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
H2H away: Nautico Recife
14.08.21
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
L
09.08.20
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
3
1
L
12.11.16
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
3
0
L
04.10.14
H2H
Avai
Nautico Recife
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 3.03
Home 2.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 2.13
Home 3.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.81
Over 2.5 2.04
Over 2.75 2.34
Over 3.5 3.54
Under 0.5 7.02
Under 1.5 3.09
Under 1.75 2.76
Under 2.0 2.39
Under 2.25 1.97
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.5 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 3.00
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.05
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.30
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 3.02
Home 2.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.32
Draw 1.92
Home 3.48
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.86
Draw 2.33
Home 3.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.79
Over 2.5 2.04
Over 2.75 2.28
Over 3.0 2.77
Over 3.25 3.11
Over 3.5 3.42
Over 3.75 4.30
Over 4.0 6.05
Over 4.25 6.49
Over 4.5 6.90
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.10
Under 0.75 7.49
Under 1.0 6.75
Under 1.25 4.09
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 1.75 2.73
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.27
Under 3.5 1.23
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 3.15
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.08
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 2.43
Home 3.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.45
Over 2.0 1.60
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.50
Over 3.0 3.15
Over 3.25 3.55
Over 3.5 3.90
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 1.75 2.65
Under 2.0 2.28
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 2.75 1.50
Under 3.0 1.34
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.05

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 16 8 6 2 27:14 13 30
W W W D W
4 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
5 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L W
6 16 8 4 4 20:17 3 28
W W W L W
7 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
8 16 7 4 5 21:14 7 25
L L L D W
9 16 7 3 6 16:21 -5 24
W W L D L
10 16 5 8 3 12:9 3 23
W D L W W
11 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
12 16 6 3 7 21:19 2 21
D L L D L
13 16 5 6 5 18:19 -1 21
L W D D W
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 16 5 4 7 24:29 -5 19
L W D D L
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18
Avai Home
16 3 4 9 16:24 -8 13
L L W L L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
Promotion
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