BRAZIL SERIE B
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Ressacada

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 39.1%
Draw 17.6%
CRB Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.27
CRB1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
21 GF / 27 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
31 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
12
2.9
Shots on Goal
5.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 20 matches
CRB CRB 20 matches
Avai Statistic CRB
5 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
10 Losses 7
21 Goals For 31
27 Goals Against 32
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
10 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
2.9 Shots On Goal 5.7
10.05 Total Shots 16.55
3.25 Corners 4.9
48.7% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-4-2 and CRB in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward CRB. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CRB carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 29 points while Avai sit 18 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 20 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 21:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

CRB Analysis

CRB sit 8 with 29 points after 20 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:32 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mikael (12 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Mikael (3 assists), Thiaguinho (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 10 times, CRB won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-4-2 / CRB 4-3-3
H2H summary: Avai wins 10, draws 2, CRB wins 3
Last matches: Avai
28.07.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: CRB
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H: Avai vs CRB
02.04.26
H2H
CRB
Avai
0
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
CRB
Avai
1
0
L
07.06.25
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
CRB
Avai
1
2
W
14.05.24
H2H
Avai
CRB
2
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
1
D
23.08.23
H2H
CRB
Avai
1
1
D
25.09.21
H2H
CRB
Avai
1
2
W
25.06.21
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
29.12.20
H2H
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
02.10.20
H2H
CRB
Avai
3
1
L
04.09.18
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
15.05.18
H2H
CRB
Avai
0
4
W
13.09.16
H2H
CRB
Avai
1
2
W
05.06.16
H2H
Avai
CRB
2
1
W
Last matches: Avai
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
07.06.25
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
14.05.24
H2H
Avai
CRB
2
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
1
D
25.06.21
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
29.12.20
H2H
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
04.09.18
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
05.06.16
H2H
Avai
CRB
2
1
W
Last matches: CRB
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H away: CRB
07.06.25
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
L
14.05.24
H2H
Avai
CRB
2
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
1
D
25.06.21
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
L
29.12.20
H2H
Avai
CRB
0
1
W
04.09.18
H2H
Avai
CRB
1
0
L
05.06.16
H2H
Avai
CRB
2
1
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 20 10 5 5 28:25 3 35
L W D W W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8
CRB Away
20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
9 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
10 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
11 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
12 20 7 6 7 28:23 5 27
L L D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
15 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
16 20 5 7 8 20:25 -5 22
W L D D L
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18
Avai Home
20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 20 2 3 15 15:39 -24 9
D L L L L
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