BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: J. Ferreira
Avai
Match Timeline
America Mineiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
William
America Mineiro
39'
Paulo Victor
America Mineiro
🟨
45+2'
Matías Segovia
America Mineiro
🔄
46'
Quaresma ↔ Sorriso
Avai
🔄
54'
Felipe Amaral ↔ Jorge Jimenez
America Mineiro
🔄
61'
Jean Lucas ↔ Leo Gamalho
Avai
🟨
66'
Filipe Pereira Dahora
America Mineiro
🟨
68'
Jorge Roa Jiménez
America Mineiro
🔄
69'
M. Segovia ↔ Gabriel Domingos
America Mineiro
🔄
69'
Gabriel Barros ↔ L. Montes
America Mineiro
🔄
75'
Wallison ↔ Wenderson
Avai
🔄
75'
Ze Ricardo ↔ Romildo Del Piage
Avai
🔄
81'
↔ F. Elizari
America Mineiro
🔄
82'
Yago Souza ↔ G. Oliveira
America Mineiro
🟨
83'
Gabriel Oliveira
America Mineiro
VAR
85'
Jefferson Maciel
Avai
87'
Daniel Penha
Avai
88'
Thayllon · Assist: Daniel Penha
Avai

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 58.6%
Draw 11.8%
America Mineiro Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.28
America Mineiro0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
19 GF / 25 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
12 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
9
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 18 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 18 matches
Avai Statistic America Mineiro
4 Wins 1
5 Draws 5
9 Losses 12
19 Goals For 12
25 Goals Against 29
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 8
3 Shots On Goal 4.44
10.17 Total Shots 12.89
3.28 Corners 5.44
48.9% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors America Mineiro. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America Mineiro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 16 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:24, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), Jean Lucas (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (2 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Douglas Teixeira (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 7 points from 17 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 11:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Matías Segovia (1 goals), Felipe Amaral (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 6 times, America Mineiro won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / America Mineiro 4-3-3
H2H summary: Avai wins 6, draws 3, America Mineiro wins 6
Stats
Avai Avai
America Mineiro America Mineiro
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 3
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
379 Total passes 391
316 Passes accurate 334
1.81 expected_goals 0.77
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
America Mineiro
Igor Bohn
Igor Bohn
Wallison
Wallison
Allyson
Allyson
Jefferson Maciel
Jefferson Maciel
Quaresma
Quaresma
Thayllon
Thayllon
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
William
William
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Daniel Penha
🎯
Daniel Penha
Gustavo
Gustavo
Filipe Dahora
Filipe Dahora
Manoel
Manoel
L. Sosa
L. Sosa
Dalbert
Dalbert
Felipe Amaral
Felipe Amaral
Guilherme Parede
Guilherme Parede
M. Segovia
M. Segovia
Yago Souza
Yago Souza
Gabriel Barros
Gabriel Barros
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor
Avai 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
1
Igor Bohn
G
2
Wallison
↓ 75'
D
3
Allyson
D
38
Jefferson Maciel
D
66
Quaresma
↓ 46'
D
43
Thayllon
⚽ 88'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
M
77
Ze Ricardo
↓ 75'
M
56
William
M
10
Jean Lucas
↓ 61'
F
14
Daniel Penha
⚽ 87' 🎯 88'
F
Substitutes
21
Otavio Passos
G
95
Wenderson
↑ 75'
M
4
Gabriel Simples
D
25
Paulo Vitor
M
15
Guilherme Aquino
D
11
Sorriso
↑ 46'
F
9
Leo Gamalho
↑ 61'
F
5
Romildo Del Piage
↑ 75'
M
29
Marcio Vitor
F
17
Juan Rocha
F
America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Gustavo
G
32
Filipe Dahora
26
Manoel
D
3
L. Sosa
D
29
Dalbert
D
8
Felipe Amaral
↓ 54'
M
7
Guilherme Parede
M
77
M. Segovia
↓ 69' 🟨 45+2'
M
10
Yago Souza
↓ 82'
M
11
Gabriel Barros
↓ 69'
M
20
Paulo Victor
⚽ 39'
F
Substitutes
19
William
🟨 -5'
G
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
25
T. Ostchega
D
13
Heitor
D
5
F. Elizari
↑ 81'
M
93
Jorge Jimenez
↑ 54' 🟨 68'
M
6
Gabriel Domingos
↑ 69'
M
61
G. Oliveira
↑ 82' 🟨 83'
D
30
L. Montes
↑ 69'
D
39
G. Italo
F
Last matches: Avai
28.07.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: America Mineiro
26.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H: Avai vs America Mineiro
21.07.26
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
02.09.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Avai
2
0
L
26.04.25
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
3
0
W
12.10.24
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
2
D
26.06.24
H2H
America Mineiro
Avai
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Avai
3
1
L
10.04.22
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.01.21
H2H
America Mineiro
Avai
2
1
L
31.10.20
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
0
W
14.11.14
H2H
America Mineiro
Avai
3
0
L
13.08.14
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
0
W
28.09.13
H2H
America Mineiro
Avai
0
0
D
12.06.13
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
2
L
15.09.12
H2H
America Mineiro
Avai
1
0
L
16.06.12
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
0
W
Last matches: Avai
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
21.07.26
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.25
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
3
0
W
12.10.24
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
2
D
10.04.22
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
0
W
31.10.20
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
0
W
13.08.14
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
0
W
12.06.13
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
2
L
16.06.12
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
0
W
Last matches: America Mineiro
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H away: America Mineiro
21.07.26
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
3
0
L
12.10.24
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
2
D
10.04.22
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
0
L
31.10.20
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
0
L
13.08.14
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
0
L
12.06.13
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
1
2
W
16.06.12
H2H
Avai
America Mineiro
2
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 20 10 5 5 28:25 3 35
L W D W W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
9 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
10 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
11 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
12 20 7 6 7 28:23 5 27
L L D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
15 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
16 20 5 7 8 20:25 -5 22
W L D D L
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18
Avai Home
20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 20 2 3 15 15:39 -24 9
D L L L L
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