Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
96.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Aubagne
Caen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aubagne
32 matches
Caen
32 matches
| Aubagne | Statistic | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 11 | Draws | 16 |
| 13 | Losses | 8 |
| 35 | Goals For | 40 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Caen's more proactive style and Aubagne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Aubagne have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Caen. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caen having the stronger overall control.
Aubagne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 34 points from 31 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 35:45, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Bentoumi (7 goals), M. Hamek (6 goals), E. Mayilla (5 goals), with creative support from K. Chaban (5 assists), B. El Kaddouri (3 assists), N. Chibani (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Caen sit 8 with 40 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 16 draws, and 7 losses, while the 38:31 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Botella (9 goals), A. Duville-Parsemain (5 goals), A. Gnanduillet (5 goals), with creative support from I. Botella (4 assists), R. Labonne (4 assists), O. Mazie (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Aubagne won 1 times, Caen won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Aubagne's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Lineups
Aubagne
Thionville Lusitanos
Aubagne
Bastia
Aubagne
Montpellier
Aubagne
Gobelins
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
Aubagne
Rouen
Aubagne
Orleans
Aubagne
Le Puy Foot
Aubagne
Chateauroux
Aubagne
Valenciennes
Aubagne
Sochaux
Aubagne
Dijon
Aubagne
Fleury 91
Aubagne
Versailles
Aubagne
Quevilly
Aubagne
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Aubagne
Concarneau
Aubagne
Villefranche
Aubagne
Gobelins
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
Caen
Valenciennes
Caen
Dieppe
Caen
Al Wakrah
Caen
Laval
Caen
Gobelins
Caen
Rennes
Caen
Concarneau
Caen
Villefranche
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Caen
Gobelins
Caen
Stade Briochin
Caen
Rouen
Caen
Orleans
Caen
Le Puy Foot
Caen
Chateauroux
Caen
Valenciennes
Caen
Sochaux
Caen
Dijon
Caen
Fleury 91
Caen
Versailles
Aubagne
Thionville Lusitanos
Aubagne
Bastia
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
Aubagne
Orleans
Aubagne
Chateauroux
Aubagne
Sochaux
Aubagne
Fleury 91
Aubagne
Quevilly
Aubagne
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Aubagne
Gobelins
Aubagne
Rouen
Aubagne
Le Puy Foot
Aubagne
Valenciennes
Aubagne
Dijon
Aubagne
Versailles
Aubagne
Concarneau
Aubagne
Villefranche
Caen
Rennes
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Caen
Gobelins
Caen
Rouen
Caen
Le Puy Foot
Caen
Valenciennes
Caen
Dijon
Caen
Versailles
Caen
Concarneau
Caen
Villefranche
Caen
Bayeux
Caen
Stade Briochin
Caen
Orleans
Caen
Chateauroux
Caen
Sochaux
Caen
Fleury 91
Caen
Quevilly
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 0 | 51 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 47 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Caen
Away
|
32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Aubagne
Home
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
D
|