Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Tucuman
Sarmiento Junin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Tucuman
21 matches
Sarmiento Junin
21 matches
| Atletico Tucuman | Statistic | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 1 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 22 | Goals For | 20 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.58 |
| 11.84 | Total Shots | 10.11 |
| 4.68 | Corners | 3.68 |
| 45.2% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarmiento Junin. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sarmiento Junin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Tucuman expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sarmiento Junin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarmiento Junin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Atletico Tucuman have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 14 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 15:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Díaz (2 goals), Franco Nicola (1 goals), Renzo Tesuri (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Ingolotti (1 assists), Maximiliano Villa (1 assists), Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 11, Sarmiento Junin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 13:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Junior Marabel (4 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), Pablo Magnin (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (2 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Tucuman won 7 times, Sarmiento Junin won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Atletico Tucuman's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Atletico Tucuman
7
5
4
3
3
3
Lineups
Atletico Tucuman
Instituto Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Atletico Tucuman
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
Huracan
Atletico Tucuman
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Talleres Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
Argentinos JRS
Atletico Tucuman
Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
Sportivo Barracas
Atletico Tucuman
Gimnasia L.P.
Atletico Tucuman
Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
Aldosivi
Atletico Tucuman
Racing Club
Atletico Tucuman
Belgrano Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
Instituto Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Tristan Suarez
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Atletico Tucuman
Atletico Tucuman
Instituto Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
Sportivo Barracas
Atletico Tucuman
Gimnasia L.P.
Atletico Tucuman
Aldosivi
Atletico Tucuman
Racing Club
Atletico Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Atletico Tucuman
Huracan
Atletico Tucuman
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Sarmiento Junin
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Nueva Chicago
Sarmiento Junin
Comunicaciones
Sarmiento Junin
San Telmo
Sarmiento Junin
Acassuso
Sarmiento Junin
CA Estudiantes
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
General Lamadrid
Sarmiento Junin
Deportivo Moron
Sarmiento Junin
Defensores De Belgrano
Sarmiento Junin
Almagro
Sarmiento Junin
Colegiales
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Sarmiento Junin
Away
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 |
Atletico Tucuman
Home
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
D
L
L
D
L
|