Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Tucuman
Sarmiento Junin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Tucuman
21 matches
Sarmiento Junin
21 matches
| Atletico Tucuman | Statistic | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 1 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 22 | Goals For | 20 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.58 |
| 11.84 | Total Shots | 10.11 |
| 4.68 | Corners | 3.68 |
| 45.2% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarmiento Junin. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sarmiento Junin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Tucuman expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sarmiento Junin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarmiento Junin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Atletico Tucuman have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 14 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 15:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Díaz (2 goals), Franco Nicola (1 goals), Renzo Tesuri (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Ingolotti (1 assists), Maximiliano Villa (1 assists), Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 11, Sarmiento Junin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 13:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Junior Marabel (4 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), Pablo Magnin (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (2 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Tucuman won 7 times, Sarmiento Junin won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Atletico Tucuman's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Sarmiento Junin
Away
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Atletico Tucuman
Home
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
L
L
L
D
D
|