Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Santa Fe Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Nacional1.43
Santa Fe1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Nacional
WWDLW
49 GF / 30 GA
Santa Fe
WLDWL
41 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
16
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
29 matches
Santa Fe
31 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 15 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 49 | Goals For | 41 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 8 times, Santa Fe won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Santa Fe 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Atletico Nacional wins 8, draws 5, Santa Fe wins 1
Standings
Primera A, Clausura 2025
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 46:28 | 18 | 40 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 38 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 38:24 | 14 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 4 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Santa Fe
Away
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 27 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 21 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 14:29 | -15 | 16 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
Group matches