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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
08.10.2026 12:00
Stadion u Parku

Arsenal Tivat vs Dečić Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Tivat Win 23.4%
Draw 19.7%
Dečić Win 56.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal Tivat0.75
Dečić1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WWDLW
10 GF / 34 GA
Dečić Dečić
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.23
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
7
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 16 matches
Dečić Dečić 13 matches
Arsenal Tivat Statistic Dečić
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
10 Losses 4
10 Goals For 16
34 Goals Against 12
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
7 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dečić's more proactive style and Arsenal Tivat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dečić. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dečić having the stronger overall control. Dečić carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 15 points while Arsenal Tivat sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Arsenal Tivat have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

Arsenal Tivat sit 10 with 7 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dečić Analysis

Dečić come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Tivat won 4 times, Dečić won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Arsenal Tivat's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
H2H summary: Arsenal Tivat wins 4, draws 5, Dečić wins 6

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 15:10 5 16
W W L W W
2 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
D L D L W
3 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
4 9 4 2 3 11:7 4 14
W W W L D
5 9 4 2 3 11:7 4 14
W W W D W
6 9 3 4 2 9:7 2 13
D L L W D
7 9 3 1 5 8:15 -7 10
L L W W L
8 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 9
L D L W L
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 9 1 4 4 5:11 -6 7
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga