Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsAtletico Nacional vs Millonarios Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
36 matches
Millonarios
34 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 12 |
| 1 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 12 |
| 68 | Goals For | 46 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 6.39 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 16.64 | Total Shots | 15.8 |
| 5.52 | Corners | 5.9 |
| 57.6% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Nacional arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Millonarios in 10 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Nacional come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millonarios.
Atletico Nacional approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with a 35:15 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Morelos (13 goals), J. Rengifo (7 goals), A. Sarmiento (7 goals), with creative support from J. Rengifo (7 assists), A. Morelos (6 assists), A. Sarmiento (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
From their first 19 matches, Millonarios have collected 26 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 31:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Estupiñán (13 goals), R. Contreras (10 goals), L. Castro (8 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Valencia Isaza (4 assists), A. Estupiñán (3 assists), F. Chaverra (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 3 times, Millonarios won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:16 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Millonarios
Away
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
L
D
D
|