Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Deportivo Pasto Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Nacional1.67
Deportivo Pasto1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Nacional
WWDLW
68 GF / 36 GA
Deportivo Pasto
WLDWL
40 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
16
BTTS Yes
16
24
Over 2.5
15
6.24
Shots on Goal
3.71
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
36 matches
Deportivo Pasto
32 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 13 |
| 1 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 13 |
| 68 | Goals For | 40 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.24 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 16.52 | Total Shots | 11.74 |
| 5.52 | Corners | 4.16 |
| 58.2% | Ball Possession | 52.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 11 times, Deportivo Pasto won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Pasto 4-4-2
H2H summary: Atletico Nacional wins 11, draws 4, Deportivo Pasto wins 0
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Deportivo Pasto
Away
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
Post season qualification