Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsAtletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.6%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.25 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.65 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.31 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.73 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
41 matches
Deportivo Pasto
34 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 14 |
| 77 | Goals For | 40 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 6.22 | Shots On Goal | 3.58 |
| 16.41 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 5.41 | Corners | 4.12 |
| 58.1% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Nacional expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Pasto in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pasto having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Pasto. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Atletico Nacional approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 19 outings. The return of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 35:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Morelos (13 goals), A. Sarmiento (8 goals), J. Rengifo (7 goals), with creative support from J. Rengifo (7 assists), A. Morelos (6 assists), A. Sarmiento (6 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Placed 3 with 34 points from 19 outings, Deportivo Pasto continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Santiago Córdoba (5 goals), D. Chávez (4 goals), Jonathan Perlaza (2 goals), with creative support from D. Chávez (3 assists), E. Serje (2 assists), M. Gil (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 11 times, Deportivo Pasto won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 3 |
Deportivo Pasto
Away
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
D
L
L
D
|