Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
15 matches
Mirassol
18 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 18 | Goals For | 21 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.6 | Shots On Goal | 4.56 |
| 13.87 | Total Shots | 14.11 |
| 5.27 | Corners | 5.78 |
| 49.2% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico-MG expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Mirassol in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirassol having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Atletico-MG have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mirassol.
Atletico-MG sit 13 with 18 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 18:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Victor Hugo (3 goals), Cuello (2 goals), Dudu (2 goals), with creative support from Hulk (3 assists), R. Lodi (2 assists), Victor Hugo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mirassol sit 18 with 13 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 16:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Igor Formiga (3 goals), Eduardo (2 goals), Nathan Fogaça (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), C. Cuesta (1 assists), Carlos Eduardo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 2 times, Mirassol won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Atletico-MG
6
3
7
3
2
1
Lineups
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Remo
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Fluminense
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Coritiba
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Santos
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Remo
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Remo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
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|
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| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
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| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
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| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
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| 9 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
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| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
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| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
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| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
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|
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| 19 |
Mirassol
Away
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
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