Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
44.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
70.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
Libertad
Orense SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
22 matches
Orense SC
22 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 10 |
| 21 | Goals For | 27 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 10.32 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 3.59 | Corners | 3.77 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orense SC. Orense SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, Libertad have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 24 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 19:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vilington Branda (4 goals), Gabriel Cortez (3 goals), Ivan Zambrano (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Cortez (4 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Vilington Branda (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Orense SC sit 10 with 26 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 25:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Agustin Herrera (5 goals), Sergio Vásquez (3 goals), Erick Zambrano (2 goals), with creative support from Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Agustin Herrera (2 assists), Sergio Vásquez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 4 times, Orense SC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Libertad's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Libertad
5
1
8
13
0
3
Lineups
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Macara
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Macara
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Libertad
Home
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Orense SC
Away
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|