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ITALY › SERIE B
27.10.2026 19:00
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli vs Sampdoria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ascoli Win 88%
Draw 6%
Sampdoria Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ascoli1.34
Sampdoria1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ascoli Ascoli
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Sampdoria Sampdoria
WLDWL
12 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
7
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
3.33
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ascoli Ascoli 11 matches
Sampdoria Sampdoria 12 matches
Ascoli Statistic Sampdoria
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 7
13 Goals For 12
13 Goals Against 19
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
7 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
3.33 Shots On Goal 4.88
11.56 Total Shots 15.25
5.22 Corners 6
54.7% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ascoli's more proactive style and Sampdoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sampdoria. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sampdoria arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ascoli arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 12 points compared to Sampdoria in 19 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ascoli expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sampdoria in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sampdoria having the stronger overall control.

Ascoli Analysis

So far, Ascoli have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 12 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Silipo (3 goals), G. Gori (1 goals), N. Rizzo (1 goals), with creative support from G. Gori (1 assists), S. Damiani (1 assists), T. Milanese (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sampdoria Analysis

Sampdoria sit 19 with 4 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 7:15, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through L. Insigne (3 goals), L. Henderson (2 goals), G. Tutino (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Verschaeren (2 assists), T. Lauritsen (2 assists), S. Gartenmann (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ascoli won 0 times, Sampdoria won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Ascoli's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Ascoli 4-2-3-1 / Sampdoria 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Ascoli wins 0, draws 2, Sampdoria wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 16:7 9 19
W W W D W
2 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
L W D W D
3 7 4 1 2 14:9 5 13
W W D L W
4 7 4 1 2 12:8 4 13
L W W D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:6 3 12
L D W D W
6 7 3 3 1 8:5 3 12
D D W L W
7 7 3 2 2 12:8 4 11
D W L D W
8 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D W W W L
9 7 3 1 3 8:14 -6 10
W D L W L
10 7 2 3 2 10:8 2 9
W D D W D
11 7 2 2 3 14:12 2 8
D L W L W
12 7 1 5 1 8:9 -1 8
D L D D D
13 7 2 1 4 6:7 -1 7
W W L L L
14 7 2 1 4 7:11 -4 7
D L L L W
15 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
L L L W L
16 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
L D D D W
17 7 1 3 3 9:15 -6 6
D L L D D
18 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 5
W D D D L
19 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L W L L
20 7 1 1 5 8:14 -6 4
D L L W L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation