CHILE PRIMERA B
01.08.2026 00:30
Estadio Carlos Dittborn
San Marcos de Arica
Match Timeline
Deportes Iquique
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
A. Ramos
Deportes Iquique
55'
B. Garrido
Deportes Iquique
🔄
62'
A. Maidana ↔ N. Donadell
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
62'
E. Benavides ↔ B. Monroy
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
62'
C. Gonzalez ↔ A. Venezia
Deportes Iquique
🔄
67'
T. Jones ↔ S. Contreras
Deportes Iquique
🔄
73'
B. Sagredo ↔ A. Abalos
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
78'
D. Tello ↔ R. Valenzuela
Deportes Iquique
🔄
78'
A. Ramos ↔ A. Henriquez
Deportes Iquique
🔄
85'
G. Cubillos ↔ G. Reyes
San Marcos de Arica
🟥
90+7'
A. Barboza
San Marcos de Arica
🟥
90+12'
L. Troncoso
Deportes Iquique
🟥
90+12'
R. Saracho
San Marcos de Arica
🟥
90+13'
A. Venezia
Deportes Iquique
🟨
90+14'
D. Rojas
Deportes Iquique
90'
A. Barboza
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Iquique Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.9%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Marcos de Arica Win 49.6%
Draw 19.3%
Deportes Iquique Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Marcos de Arica1.19
Deportes Iquique1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique
WLDWL
30 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
9
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 21 matches
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 22 matches
San Marcos de Arica Statistic Deportes Iquique
7 Wins 5
8 Draws 10
6 Losses 7
23 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 29
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
9 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and Deportes Iquique's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportes Iquique. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. San Marcos de Arica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 25 points compared to Deportes Iquique in 14 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Iquique having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 25 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 19:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportes Iquique Analysis

Deportes Iquique approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 13 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 19:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 3 times, Deportes Iquique won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from San Marcos de Arica's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: San Marcos de Arica 4-3-2-1 / Deportes Iquique -
H2H summary: San Marcos de Arica wins 3, draws 4, Deportes Iquique wins 5

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
4 24 10 8 6 41:24 17 38
D L W W D
5 23 10 8 5 36:28 8 38
W W L W D
6 24 10 7 7 36:33 3 37
W W D W D
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 24 10 5 9 31:31 0 35
L D L W W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 24 8 7 9 39:34 5 31
W L W L D
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
13 24 5 10 9 31:29 2 25
L L L W D
14 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
15 24 4 9 11 26:38 -12 21
W D D L L
16 24 4 6 14 22:38 -16 18
W W W W L