Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.27
Gremio1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
28 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
9
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
11
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
20 matches
Gremio
23 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 28 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 12.65 | Total Shots | 11.25 |
| 4.65 | Corners | 4.15 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 5 times, Gremio won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 5, draws 1, Gremio wins 9
Last matches: Atletico-MG
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Gremio
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Gremio
26.02.26
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
17.08.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
3
L
29.03.25
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
09.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
2
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
3
W
26.11.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
0
W
23.07.23
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
10.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
4
3
L
04.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
2
1
W
20.01.21
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
27.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
1
W
13.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
4
L
25.05.19
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
03.11.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
0
1
L
19.07.18
H2H
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
17.08.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
3
L
09.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
2
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
0
W
04.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
2
1
W
27.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
1
W
13.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
4
L
03.11.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
0
1
L
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
17.08.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
3
W
09.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
2
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
0
L
04.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
2
1
L
27.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
1
L
13.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
4
W
03.11.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Gremio
0
1
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gremio
Away
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
?
|
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation