SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
15.09.2026 17:00
Finnvedsvallen
IFK Varnamo
Match Timeline
Osters IF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
Filip Olsson · Assist: Matias Tamminen
Osters IF
🔄
28'
Mattis Adolfsson ↔ Sebastian Starke Hedlund
Osters IF
🔄
63'
Filip Olsson ↔ Noah Söderberg
Osters IF
🔄
65'
calle johansson ↔ Sigge Skorpan Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
65'
Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa ↔ Carl Johansson
IFK Varnamo
67'
Viktor Claesson · Assist: August Ljungberg
IFK Varnamo
72'
Hannes·Bladh Pijaca · Assist: Keyano marrah
Osters IF
76'
Noah Söderberg
Osters IF
🟨
78'
Viktor Claesson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
83'
Matias Tamminen ↔ Daniel Ask
Osters IF
🔄
83'
Kalipha Jawla ↔ william thellsson
Osters IF
🔄
84'
August Ljungberg ↔ Fred bozicevic
IFK Varnamo
🔄
84'
Kai Meriluoto ↔ Mohamed kamara
IFK Varnamo

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.4%
Odds 3.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.4%
3.54
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.54
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.4%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
IFK Varnamo Win 27.8%
Draw 5.8%
Osters IF Win 66.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Varnamo1.53
Osters IF1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WWDLW
44 GF / 54 GA
Osters IF Osters IF
WLDWL
46 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
18
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
23
2.25
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 31 matches
Osters IF Osters IF 32 matches
IFK Varnamo Statistic Osters IF
9 Wins 12
8 Draws 4
14 Losses 16
44 Goals For 46
54 Goals Against 54
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
18 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 6
2.25 Shots On Goal 2
3.95 Total Shots 2.52
3.15 Corners 2.95
32.1% Ball Possession 25.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Osters IF's more proactive style and IFK Varnamo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Osters IF. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Varnamo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Osters IF in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Osters IF having the stronger overall control.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo are currently 13 in the standings with 23 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 26:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Axel Björnström (2 goals), Simon Thern (1 goals), Marcus Antonsson (1 goals), with creative support from Simon Thern (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Osters IF Analysis

So far, Osters IF have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 33 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 33:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Filip Olsson (1 goals), with creative support from Oscar Uddenäs (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, IFK Varnamo won 6 times, Osters IF won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from IFK Varnamo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: IFK Varnamo 4-4-2 / Osters IF 4-3-3
H2H summary: IFK Varnamo wins 6, draws 2, Osters IF wins 3

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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