Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.21
Fluminense1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
22 GF / 23 GA
Fluminense
WLDWL
44 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
7
BTTS Yes
19
8
Over 2.5
14
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.48
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
18 matches
Fluminense
27 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 3 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 44 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 5.48 |
| 13.56 | Total Shots | 15.08 |
| 4.89 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 60.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 7 times, Fluminense won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 7, draws 3, Fluminense wins 5
Last matches: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Fluminense
17.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Fluminense
21.03.26
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
3
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
3
2
W
25.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
W
18.09.24
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.05.24
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
29.10.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
W
22.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
01.10.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
W
09.06.22
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
5
3
L
28.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
1
W
15.09.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
1
0
W
27.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
2
W
23.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico-MG
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
11.05.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
3
2
W
25.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
2
L
29.10.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
W
28.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
1
W
15.09.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
1
0
W
Last matches: Fluminense
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
12.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
1
1
D
H2H away: Fluminense
11.05.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
3
2
L
25.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
2
W
29.10.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
0
L
28.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
2
1
L
15.09.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B