BRAZIL SERIE A
28.10.2026 21:00
MRV Arena

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cruzeiro Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.31
Cruzeiro1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WWDLW
32 GF / 28 GA
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WLDWL
48 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
22
12
Over 2.5
20
4.54
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 24 matches
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 35 matches
Atletico-MG Statistic Cruzeiro
10 Wins 15
6 Draws 9
8 Losses 11
32 Goals For 48
28 Goals Against 45
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 22
16 Over 1.5 28
12 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 5
4.54 Shots On Goal 4.52
13.46 Total Shots 14
4.92 Corners 4.76
48.8% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 5 times, Cruzeiro won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1 / Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 5, draws 5, Cruzeiro wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 25 15 6 4 50:21 29 51
W W L W W
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 25 10 7 8 33:33 0 37
W W D W L
8 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
9 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 25 6 7 12 27:39 -12 25
L D D L L
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19 25 5 8 12 30:42 -12 23
L L D D L
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B