BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: D. C. Muniz dos Santos
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Avai
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Luiz Henrique
Avai
🔄
46'
Sorriso ↔ Daniel Penha
Avai
🔄
46'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
56'
Douglas Pele ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🟨
63'
Kauan Rodrigues
Athletic Club
🔄
67'
Thayllon ↔ William
Avai
🔄
69'
Jota ↔ D. Vera
Athletic Club
🔄
69'
Max ↔ Luiz Fernando
Athletic Club
🔄
78'
Jean Lucas ↔ Wenderson
Avai
89'
D. Vera · Assist: Zeca
Athletic Club
🔄
90+1'
Kauan Rodrigues ↔ G. Cabezas
Athletic Club
🔄
90+1'
Enzo Santos ↔ Marcelo Henrique
Athletic Club
🔄
90+2'
Joao Maistro ↔ Marcio Vitor
Avai

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 75.7%
Draw 8.2%
Avai Win 16.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.21
Avai1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
15 GF / 15 GA
Avai Avai
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
10
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
3.07
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 14 matches
Avai Avai 14 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Avai
4 Wins 3
7 Draws 4
3 Losses 7
15 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 20
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
10 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
3.07 Shots On Goal 3.14
10.14 Total Shots 10.57
4.29 Corners 3.29
43.4% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Athletic Club arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 19 points compared to Avai in 18 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Avai. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Avai arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Athletic Club Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Athletic Club have collected 19 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (3 goals), Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Jota (2 assists), Belezi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Avai Analysis

With 10 points from 13 games and a place of 18, Avai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 14:20, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Luiz Henrique (3 goals), Walace Franca (3 goals), Paulo Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (2 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 2 times, Avai won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Athletic Club's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-2-3-1 / Avai 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 2, draws 0, Avai wins 1
Stats
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Avai Avai
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
14
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
28 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Goal 1
14 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 1
12 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
446 Total passes 345
366 Passes accurate 260
1.38 expected_goals 0.13
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Athletic Club
Formation
Avai
Luan Polli
Luan Polli
Zeca
🎯
Zeca
Jhonatan Silva
Jhonatan Silva
Felipe Vieira
Felipe Vieira
Douglas Pele
Douglas Pele
Jota
Jota
Joao Miguel
Joao Miguel
Enzo Santos
Enzo Santos
Max
Max
Kauan Rodrigues
Kauan Rodrigues
Ian Luccas
Ian Luccas
Igor Bohn
Igor Bohn
Wesley Gasolina
Wesley Gasolina
Allyson
Allyson
Joao Maistro
Joao Maistro
DG
DG
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Thayllon
Thayllon
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Sorriso
Sorriso
Leo Gamalho
Leo Gamalho
Athletic Club 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Luan Polli
G
6
Zeca
🎯 89'
D
3
Jhonatan Silva
D
13
Felipe Vieira
2
Douglas Pele
↓ 56'
M
15
Jota
↓ 69'
16
Joao Miguel
M
23
Enzo Santos
↓ 90+1'
M
11
Max
↓ 69'
F
17
Kauan Rodrigues
↓ 90+1' 🟨 63'
F
5
Ian Luccas
F
Substitutes
12
Glauco
G
8
G. Cabezas
↑ 90+1'
M
7
Bruninho
↑ 56'
F
14
Marcelo Henrique
↑ 90+1'
D
19
Alexandre Pena
4
Gustavo Morais
D
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
22
Diogo Batista
D
21
D. Vera
⚽ 89' ↑ 69'
F
9
Gabriel Moyses
10
Eduardo Filipe
20
Luiz Fernando
↑ 69'
F
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Igor Bohn
G
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
3
Allyson
D
50
Joao Maistro
↓ 90+2'
D
36
DG
D
77
Ze Ricardo
M
8
Luiz Henrique
↓ 46' 🟨 12'
M
43
Thayllon
↓ 67'
M
10
Jean Lucas
↓ 78'
M
11
Sorriso
↓ 46'
M
9
Leo Gamalho
F
Substitutes
21
Otavio Passos
G
14
Daniel Penha
↑ 46'
M
95
Wenderson
↑ 78'
M
2
Wallison
D
4
Gabriel Simples
D
25
Paulo Vitor
↑ 46'
M
29
Marcio Vitor
↑ 90+2'
F
16
Jamerson
M
56
William
↑ 67'
D
Last matches: Athletic Club
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
Last matches: Avai
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H: Athletic Club vs Avai
28.06.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Avai
Athletic Club
2
1
L
14.07.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Avai
4
0
W
Last matches: Athletic Club
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H at home: Athletic Club
28.06.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
14.07.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Avai
4
0
W
Last matches: Avai
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
H2H away: Avai
28.06.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
L
14.07.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Avai
4
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 17 5 8 4 16:16 0 23
D L W L D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 17 5 4 8 25:25 0 19
D W D W W
17 17 4 6 7 15:20 -5 18
D L L L D
18
Avai Away
17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 17 1 4 12 11:28 -17 7
D L L L W
Promotion
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