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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 11:30
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.6
Manchester City2.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
27 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
2.45
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
12
BTTS Yes
7
15
Over 2.5
7
4.78
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 17 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 11 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Manchester City
6 Wins 9
2 Draws 1
9 Losses 1
33 Goals For 27
29 Goals Against 12
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.45
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
12 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 9
15 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 0
4.78 Shots On Goal 6.25
13.78 Total Shots 16.25
3.67 Corners 6.63
44.6% Ball Possession 62.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 4 times, Manchester City won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:32 from Aston Villa's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 4, draws 1, Manchester City wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship