Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 42.1%
Draw 12.7%
Arsenal Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.5
Arsenal2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Arsenal
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.25
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
7
BTTS Yes
3
9
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
9 matches
Arsenal
4 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 7 | Losses | 1 |
| 15 | Goals For | 9 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 20 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 33% | Ball Possession | 64% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 6 times, Arsenal won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:26 from Aston Villa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 6, draws 1, Arsenal wins 8
Last matches: Aston Villa
23.08.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
0
4
L
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal
21.08.26
Pre
Arsenal
Coventry
3
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Como
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Real Betis
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Girona
4
1
W
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
H2H: Aston Villa vs Arsenal
30.12.25
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
4
1
L
06.12.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
18.01.25
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
2
2
D
24.08.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0
2
L
14.04.24
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
0
2
W
09.12.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
W
18.02.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
4
L
31.08.22
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
2
1
L
19.03.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0
1
L
22.10.21
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
3
1
L
06.02.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
W
08.11.20
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
0
3
W
21.07.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
W
22.09.19
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
3
2
L
15.05.16
H2H
Arsenal
Aston Villa
4
0
L
Last matches: Aston Villa
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
06.12.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
24.08.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0
2
L
09.12.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
W
18.02.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
4
L
19.03.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0
1
L
06.02.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
W
21.07.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
W
Last matches: Arsenal
01.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Girona
4
1
W
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brighton
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
12.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brentford
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Leeds
4
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Arsenal
Inter
3
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
Arsenal
Portsmouth
4
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
3
2
W
20.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
1
0
W
H2H away: Arsenal
06.12.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
L
24.08.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0
2
W
09.12.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
L
18.02.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
4
W
19.03.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
0
1
W
06.02.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
L
21.07.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 |
Arsenal
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship