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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
31.08.2026 19:00
Villa Park
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Arsenal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Christos Tzolis
Arsenal
🔄
46'
C. Tzolis ↔ E. Eze
Arsenal
VAR
55'
Bukayo Saka
Arsenal
⚽
55'
Arsenal
Arsenal
⚽
59'
B. Saka · Assist: R. Calafiori
Arsenal
🔄
71'
G. Hemmings ↔ Alysson
Aston Villa
🔄
71'
N. Jackson ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
71'
M. Lewis-Skelly ↔ Bruno Guimaraes
Arsenal
🔄
71'
M. Odegaard ↔ M. Merino
Arsenal
🔄
78'
M. Cash ↔ A. Wan-Bissaka
Aston Villa
🔄
78'
R. Barkley ↔ A. Garnacho
Aston Villa
🔄
79'
C. Mosquera ↔ E. Konsa
Arsenal
🟨
80'
Alysson
Aston Villa
🟨
81'
John McGinn
Aston Villa
🔄
85'
D. Rice ↔ M. Zubimendi
Arsenal
🟨
90+6'
Ian Maatsen
Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 42.1%
Draw 12.7%
Arsenal Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.5
Arsenal2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.25
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
7
BTTS Yes
3
9
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 9 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 4 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Arsenal
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
7 Losses 1
15 Goals For 9
19 Goals Against 5
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
7 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 4
9 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
2 Shots On Goal 6
10.5 Total Shots 20
2 Corners 8
33% Ball Possession 64%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 6 times, Arsenal won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:26 from Aston Villa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Aston Villa 6, Arsenal 4
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 6, draws 1, Arsenal wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship