GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
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SchücoArena
Referee: T. Stieler
Arminia Bielefeld
Match Timeline
VfL Bochum
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
25'
Robin Knoche
Arminia Bielefeld
🟨
27'
Cajetan Lenz
VfL Bochum
27'
J. Grodowski
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
37'
M. Wittek ↔ L. Morgalla
VfL Bochum
🔄
46'
F. Onyeka ↔ M. Pannewig
VfL Bochum
🔄
46'
C. Lenz ↔ C. Marshall
VfL Bochum
🟨
50'
Callum Marshall
VfL Bochum
🔄
67'
K. Miyoshi ↔ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
VfL Bochum
🔄
71'
J. Grodowski ↔ M. Worl
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
71'
T. Momuluh ↔ B. Boakye
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
79'
G. Holtmann ↔ M. Kwarteng
VfL Bochum
79'
M. Kwarteng · Assist: F. Alfa-Ruprecht
VfL Bochum
🔄
83'
R. Uldrikis ↔ N. Sarenren Bazee
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
83'
T. Handwerker ↔ C. Lannert
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
87'
S. Russo ↔ M. Grosser
Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arminia Bielefeld Win 54.6%
Draw 7.9%
VfL Bochum Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arminia Bielefeld1.46
VfL Bochum1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
WWDLW
46 GF / 47 GA
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum
WLDWL
45 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
20
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
16
4.39
Shots on Goal
4.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 31 matches
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 31 matches
Arminia Bielefeld Statistic VfL Bochum
9 Wins 10
8 Draws 9
14 Losses 12
46 Goals For 45
47 Goals Against 44
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
20 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 5
4.39 Shots On Goal 4.74
14.55 Total Shots 14.35
5.97 Corners 5.19
51.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and VfL Bochum's more proactive style and Arminia Bielefeld's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arminia Bielefeld expected to line up in 4-3-3 and VfL Bochum in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Bochum having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring VfL Bochum. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. VfL Bochum arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Arminia Bielefeld Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Arminia Bielefeld have collected 35 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, while the 46:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Grodowski (9 goals), N. Sarenren Bazee (5 goals), T. Handwerker (4 goals), with creative support from T. Handwerker (7 assists), T. Momuluh (5 assists), M. Corboz (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

VfL Bochum Analysis

VfL Bochum sit 10 with 39 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 45:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Philipp Hofmann (12 goals), F. Onyeka (8 goals), G. Holtmann (5 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Wittek (7 assists), Philipp Hofmann (6 assists), Koji Miyoshi (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 6 times, VfL Bochum won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Arminia Bielefeld's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Arminia Bielefeld 4-3-3 / VfL Bochum 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arminia Bielefeld wins 6, draws 6, VfL Bochum wins 3

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga