ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds 2.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.8%
2.83
BTTS Yes
86%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.20
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
KR Reykjavik Win 69.8%
Draw 4.1%
Vikingur Reykjavik Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
KR Reykjavik2.64
Vikingur Reykjavik2.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
WWDLW
72 GF / 45 GA
Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik
WLDWL
74 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
3.6
Average Goals Scored
2.64
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
18
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 20 matches
Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik 28 matches
KR Reykjavik Statistic Vikingur Reykjavik
13 Wins 19
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
72 Goals For 74
45 Goals Against 34
3.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.64
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
18 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 21
18 Over 3.5 18
1 Clean Sheets 9
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0.9
0 Total Shots 1
0 Corners 2.4
0% Ball Possession 23.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vikingur Reykjavik. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vikingur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

KR Reykjavik Analysis

KR Reykjavik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 43 points after 20 outings. The return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 72:45, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Vikingur Reykjavik Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 51 points from 20 games, Vikingur Reykjavik bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 16 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 64:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KR Reykjavik won 2 times, Vikingur Reykjavik won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:35 from KR Reykjavik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: KR Reykjavik - / Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3
H2H summary: KR Reykjavik wins 2, draws 5, Vikingur Reykjavik wins 8

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 21 8 6 7 42:39 3 30
L L D L L
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 8 3 10 40:48 -8 27
W W L W W
8 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs