29.08.2026 18:00
Barranca Quilmena stadium
Argentino Quilmes
Match Timeline
Sportivo Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
J. Martinez
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
45+1'
F. Gomez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
50'
F. Gomez ↔ R. Fortino
Sportivo Italiano
55'
K. Gimenez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
61'
L. Guzman ↔ D. Pena
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
61'
J. Cettou ↔ M. Ceccotti
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
67'
L. Fantino
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
68'
F. Filliol ↔ L. Filosa
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
69'
K. Gimenez ↔ J. De Cuadro
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
79'
J. Kruger ↔ E. Torancio
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
79'
M. Compagnucci ↔ J. Scarel
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
81'
L. Fantino ↔ A. Daivez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
81'
F. Molina ↔ T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
81'
F. Centurion ↔ P. Caceres
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
82'
M. Gimenez
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
86'
T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano
90'
T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano

Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds 2.45
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.8%
2.45
BTTS No
71.7%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.50
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Argentino Quilmes Win 26.7%
Draw 4.6%
Sportivo Italiano Win 68.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino Quilmes0.84
Sportivo Italiano1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
WWDLW
28 GF / 33 GA
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WLDWL
36 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
12
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 32 matches
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 32 matches
Argentino Quilmes Statistic Sportivo Italiano
8 Wins 14
13 Draws 10
11 Losses 8
28 Goals For 36
33 Goals Against 25
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
12 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Argentino Quilmes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sportivo Italiano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sportivo Italiano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 52 points while Argentino Quilmes sit 14 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

Argentino Quilmes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 37 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 9 defeats with a 26:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

So far, Sportivo Italiano have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 52 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 36:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Argentino Quilmes won 4 times, Sportivo Italiano won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Argentino Quilmes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Argentino Quilmes wins 4, draws 6, Sportivo Italiano wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)