Arema FC
Match Timeline
Persebaya Surabaya
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
74%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
36.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | 2-2 |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Arema FC Win 32.7%
Draw 26%
Persebaya Surabaya Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arema FC1.31
Persebaya Surabaya1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arema FC
WWDLW
40 GF / 37 GA
Persebaya Surabaya
WLDWL
41 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
19
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arema FC
29 matches
Persebaya Surabaya
29 matches
| Arema FC | Statistic | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 40 | Goals For | 41 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Arema FC won 1 times, Persebaya Surabaya won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from Arema FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
H2H summary: Arema FC wins 1, draws 3, Persebaya Surabaya wins 9
Lineups
Arema FC
Formation
Persebaya Surabaya
Lucas Frigeri
R. Fahmi
H. Yama
Betinho
A. Farisi
Matheus Blade
A. Fikri
Gustavo Franca
Gabriel Silva
Dalberto
Joel Vinicius
A. Ramadhani
R. Mitrevski
Gustavo Fernandes
A. Catur
Jefferson
T. Firmansyah
F. Rivera
M. Raickovic
R. Ardiansyah
M. Perovic
Freitas Gali
Arema FC
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
31
Lucas Frigeri
2
R. Fahmi
66
H. Yama
🟨 38'
28
Betinho
🟨 67'
87
A. Farisi
↓ 77'
25
Matheus Blade
8
A. Fikri
↓ 90+2'
77
Gustavo Franca
↓ 90+2'
7
Gabriel Silva
↓ 90+2'
94
Dalberto
↓ 77'
9
Joel Vinicius
Substitutes
95
A. Casvari
4
L. Guntara
↑ 77'
96
M. Iksan
5
Walisson Maia
23
M. Rifai
↑ 90+2'
72
B. Setiawan
14
J. Hariono
↑ 90+2'
17
D. Mardiyanto
↑ 90+2'
10
Valdeci
↑ 77'
41
D. Santoso
27
D. Setiawan
11
S. Tuharea
Persebaya Surabaya
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
52
A. Ramadhani
5
R. Mitrevski
44
Gustavo Fernandes
2
A. Catur
17
Jefferson
⚽ 76'
68
T. Firmansyah
↓ 60'
🟨 40'
7
F. Rivera
⚽ 49'
⚽ 82'
🎯 86'
↓ 90+2'
88
M. Raickovic
14
R. Ardiansyah
↓ 60'
🟨 53'
11
M. Perovic
🎯 49'
↓ 60'
22
Freitas Gali
↓ 68'
Substitutes
82
A. Arido
33
K. Araya
78
A. Mujtaba
15
M. Tata
⚽ 86'
🎯 82'
↑ 60'
55
S. Putra
26
D. Wicaksono
8
O. Fernando
↑ 90+2'
81
M. Baihaqi
↑ 60'
10
Bruno
↑ 68'
83
Bruno Paraiba
↑ 60'
Last matches: Arema FC
22.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSIM Yogyakarta
3
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSBS Biak Numfor
5
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persik Kediri
2
3
L
24.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persib Bandung
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persis Solo
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persita
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Malut United
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bhayangkara FC
1
2
L
06.03.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bali United
3
4
L
26.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Pusamania Borneo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persepam Madura Utd
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Semen Padang
3
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persija
2
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persijap
1
0
W
26.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Dewa United
0
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persik Kediri
2
1
W
04.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bali United
0
1
L
30.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persita
0
1
L
23.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persepam Madura Utd
2
2
D
Last matches: Persebaya Surabaya
19.07.26
Fri
Persebaya Surabaya
PSIS Semarang
2
2
D
23.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persik Kediri
5
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Semen Padang
7
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persis Solo
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
4
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Malut United
2
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura Utd
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persija
0
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persita
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Pusamania Borneo
1
5
L
02.03.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persib Bandung
2
2
D
25.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSM Makassar
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persijap
1
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bhayangkara FC
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bali United
3
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Dewa United
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSIM Yogyakarta
3
0
W
10.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Malut United
2
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura Utd
1
0
W
28.12.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persijap
4
0
W
H2H: Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya
04.08.26
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1
0
L
28.04.26
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
4
L
22.11.25
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1
1
D
28.04.25
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1
1
D
07.12.24
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
3
2
L
27.03.24
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
1
L
23.09.23
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
3
1
L
11.04.23
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
2
3
L
23.02.22
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1
0
L
06.11.21
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
2
2
D
03.01.21
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
0
D
09.10.20
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
0
0
D
12.12.19
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
4
1
L
15.08.19
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
4
0
W
Last matches: Arema FC
22.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSIM Yogyakarta
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persis Solo
2
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Malut United
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bali United
3
4
L
15.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Semen Padang
3
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persijap
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persik Kediri
2
1
W
30.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persita
0
1
L
23.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persepam Madura Utd
2
2
D
08.11.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persija
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Arema FC
Pusamania Borneo
1
3
L
22.09.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persib Bandung
1
2
L
13.09.25
Lig
Arema FC
Dewa United
1
2
L
22.08.25
Lig
Arema FC
Bhayangkara FC
2
1
W
11.08.25
Lig
Arema FC
PSBS Biak Numfor
4
1
W
H2H at home: Arema FC
28.04.26
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
4
L
28.04.25
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1
1
D
27.03.24
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
1
L
01.10.22
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
2
3
L
06.11.21
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
2
2
D
03.01.21
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
0
D
15.08.19
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
4
0
W
Last matches: Persebaya Surabaya
15.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Semen Padang
7
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persis Solo
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Malut United
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persija
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Pusamania Borneo
1
5
L
21.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persijap
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bali United
3
1
W
25.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSIM Yogyakarta
3
0
W
03.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura Utd
1
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSM Makassar
1
1
D
28.11.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bhayangkara FC
1
1
D
07.11.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persik Kediri
1
1
D
24.10.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
0
0
D
26.09.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Dewa United
1
1
D
12.09.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persib Bandung
0
1
L
16.08.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persita
1
0
W
H2H away: Persebaya Surabaya
28.04.26
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
4
W
28.04.25
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1
1
D
27.03.24
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
1
W
01.10.22
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
2
3
W
06.11.21
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
2
2
D
03.01.21
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
0
D
15.08.19
H2H
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
4
0
L
Standings
Indonesia Super League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 79 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 43 | 79 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Persebaya Surabaya
Away
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 26 | 58 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 8 | 53 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 15 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 9 | 51 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Arema FC
Home
|
34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 6 | 48 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 1 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | -1 | 45 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 39 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | -14 | 36 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | -20 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | -43 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | -64 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation