BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
17.08.2026 18:15
Arena Arda
Referee: R. Gidzhenov
Arda Kardzhali
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
S. Ivanov · Assist: S. Kovachev
Arda Kardzhali
35'
S. Ivanov · Assist: B. Karagaren
Arda Kardzhali
🟨
45+1'
Birsent Karagaren
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
46'
D. Yankov ↔ D. Idowu
Arda Kardzhali
🟨
51'
Mark Emilio Papazov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
61'
Spas Delev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
64'
R. Daskalov ↔ Eiro
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
64'
M. Papazov ↔ A. Taoui
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
64'
K. Miloshev ↔ M. Medfai
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
69'
B. Karagaren ↔ A. Kabov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
69'
P. Bachev ↔ G. Nikolov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
70'
D. Velkovski ↔ S. Vasilev
Arda Kardzhali
75'
Caue Caruzo · Assist: M. Medfai
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
76'
S. Ivanov ↔ V. Popov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
80'
K. Kostov ↔ B. Katsarov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
80'
Caue Caruzo ↔ N. Penev
Lokomotiv Sofia
88'
S. Kovachev
Arda Kardzhali
🟨
90+1'
Adil Taoui
Lokomotiv Sofia

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.2%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arda Kardzhali Win 50.2%
Draw 16.4%
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 33.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arda Kardzhali1.37
Lokomotiv Sofia1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 14 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 13 matches
Arda Kardzhali Statistic Lokomotiv Sofia
6 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
17 Goals For 16
12 Goals Against 21
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
6 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arda Kardzhali won 8 times, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:13 from Arda Kardzhali's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arda Kardzhali wins 8, draws 5, Lokomotiv Sofia wins 2

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 24:7 17 24
D W W D W
3 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
4 10 7 1 2 19:10 9 22
W W L W L
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L L W W
6 10 5 1 4 16:14 2 16
W W W L L
7 10 2 5 3 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
8 10 2 4 4 10:15 -5 10
L D D D L
9 10 2 3 5 9:19 -10 9
D D W L W
10 10 2 2 6 8:18 -10 8
L L L D W
11 10 1 4 5 11:18 -7 7
W L D L D
12 10 2 1 7 5:13 -8 7
D L W L L
13 10 1 3 6 11:20 -9 6
D D L L W
14 10 1 2 7 10:19 -9 5
D L L D L
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