BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
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Arena Arda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arda Kardzhali Win 87.3%
Draw 6.3%
Botev Plovdiv Win 6.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arda Kardzhali1.15
Botev Plovdiv1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
WWDLW
23 GF / 13 GA
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
WLDWL
37 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.95
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 17 matches
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 19 matches
Arda Kardzhali Statistic Botev Plovdiv
9 Wins 13
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 5
23 Goals For 37
13 Goals Against 16
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
7 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arda Kardzhali's more proactive style and Botev Plovdiv's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Arda Kardzhali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 13 points compared to Botev Plovdiv in 8 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Arda Kardzhali come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Botev Plovdiv. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Arda Kardzhali Analysis

Arda Kardzhali approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 13 points after 6 outings. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 9:4, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Botev Plovdiv Analysis

Botev Plovdiv sit 8 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 7:9 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arda Kardzhali won 10 times, Botev Plovdiv won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:11 from Arda Kardzhali's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1 / Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arda Kardzhali wins 10, draws 2, Botev Plovdiv wins 3