BRAZIL SERIE C
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Estadio Etelvino Mendonca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AO Itabaiana Win 29.1%
Draw 17.3%
Botafogo PB Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
AO Itabaiana0.89
Botafogo PB1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WWDLW
14 GF / 25 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
29 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
7
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 18 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 19 matches
AO Itabaiana Statistic Botafogo PB
4 Wins 10
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 6
14 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 20
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
7 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Botafogo PB's more proactive style and AO Itabaiana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo PB. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Botafogo PB carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 27 points while AO Itabaiana sit 18 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

AO Itabaiana sit 18 with 17 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 27 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 23:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, AO Itabaiana won 1 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from AO Itabaiana's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: AO Itabaiana wins 1, draws 1, Botafogo PB wins 1
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
23.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maranhão
1
4
L
16.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Barra
0
1
L
09.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Caxias
0
2
L
25.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Brusque
1
0
W
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ferroviária
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Anápolis
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ituano
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Figueirense
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Floresta
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Paysandu
1
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ypiranga-RS
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
22.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
15.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Amazonas
0
0
D
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Caxias
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H: AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB
22.04.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
3
3
D
30.06.25
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
24.03.24
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
0
1
L
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
09.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Caxias
0
2
L
13.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Brusque
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ferroviária
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ituano
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Floresta
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Paysandu
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ypiranga-RS
1
2
L
H2H at home: AO Itabaiana
22.04.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
3
3
D
30.06.25
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
24.03.24
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
0
1
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
15.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Amazonas
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Caxias
2
1
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
H2H away: Botafogo PB
22.04.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
3
3
D
30.06.25
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
1
0
L
24.03.24
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Botafogo PB
0
1
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation