BRAZIL SERIE C
29.08.2026 20:00
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Referee: A. Moraes
AO Itabaiana
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Betao
AO Itabaiana
🟨
23'
Lucas Candido
Botafogo PB
🟨
45'
Leo Pereira
Botafogo PB
🔄
59'
Jonas Toro ↔ Caio Garcia
Botafogo PB
🔄
59'
Lucas Candido ↔ R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🟨
60'
Leandro Mathias
Botafogo PB
🔄
63'
Renatinho ↔ Leilson
AO Itabaiana
🔄
72'
Leo Pereira ↔ Erick
Botafogo PB
🔄
72'
Yan Souto ↔ Julio Vaz
Botafogo PB
🔄
74'
Tito ↔ Gustavo Cintra
AO Itabaiana
🔄
74'
Ricardo Cerqueira ↔ Luan Silva
AO Itabaiana
🟨
76'
Leilson
AO Itabaiana
🟨
78'
Diego Tavares
Botafogo PB
🔄
81'
Diego Tavares ↔ Igor Morais
Botafogo PB
85'
Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🔄
88'
Betao ↔ Lucao
AO Itabaiana
🔄
88'
Julio Henrique ↔ Elimar
AO Itabaiana
90'
Kayon
Botafogo PB

AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds 2.77
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
2.77
BTTS No
60.3%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.10
Correct Score 0-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
AO Itabaiana Win 29.1%
Draw 17.3%
Botafogo PB Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
AO Itabaiana0.89
Botafogo PB1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WWDLW
14 GF / 25 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
29 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
7
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 18 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 19 matches
AO Itabaiana Statistic Botafogo PB
4 Wins 10
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 6
14 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 20
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
7 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Botafogo PB's more proactive style and AO Itabaiana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo PB. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Botafogo PB carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 27 points while AO Itabaiana sit 18 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

AO Itabaiana sit 18 with 17 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 27 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 23:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, AO Itabaiana won 1 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from AO Itabaiana's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: AO Itabaiana wins 1, draws 1, Botafogo PB wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation