BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Independência
Referee: Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil
America Mineiro
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45+7'
Lucas Lima
Goias
VAR
45+6'
Juninho
Goias
🟨
46'
Fernando Elizari
America Mineiro
🔄
46'
Gabriel Barros ↔ Gonzalo Mastriani
America Mineiro
🔄
60'
Fernando Elizari ↔ Tobías Ostchega
America Mineiro
61'
Paulo Victor · Assist: Gonzalo Mastriani
America Mineiro
🔄
67'
Paulo Victor ↔ Italo Charbaje
America Mineiro
🔄
70'
Lucas Lima ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
70'
Jean Carlos ↔ Gegê
Goias
🔄
75'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Djalma
Goias
🔄
76'
Juninho ↔ Esli García
Goias
🔄
80'
Felipe Amaral ↔ Jorge Roa Jiménez
America Mineiro
🔄
80'
Guilherme Parede ↔ Filipe Pereira Dahora
America Mineiro
🟨
81'
Gustavo
America Mineiro
🟨
81'
Filipe Machado
Goias
🔄
86'
Lourenço ↔ Brayann
Goias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.9%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
America Mineiro Win 14.7%
Draw 5.3%
Goias Win 79.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro0.94
Goias1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WWDLW
13 GF / 31 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
21 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
10
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
7
4.53
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America Mineiro America Mineiro 19 matches
Goias Goias 19 matches
America Mineiro Statistic Goias
1 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
13 Losses 6
13 Goals For 21
31 Goals Against 25
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
10 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 5
4.53 Shots On Goal 3.26
12.63 Total Shots 10.47
5.32 Corners 4.16
54.8% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Goias. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Goias in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. Goias carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 28 points while America Mineiro sit 20 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro sit 20 with 8 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats with a 12:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Felipe Amaral (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Goias have collected 28 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:24 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Kadu (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Rodrigo Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 3 times, Goias won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from America Mineiro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: America Mineiro 4-1-4-1 / Goias 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America Mineiro wins 3, draws 4, Goias wins 7
Stats
America Mineiro America Mineiro
Goias Goias
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 10
11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 3
1 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 7
7 Goalkeeper Saves 2
320 Total passes 620
254 Passes accurate 557
0.13 expected_goals 2.26
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

America Mineiro
Formation
Goias
Gustavo
Gustavo
Alex Silva
Alex Silva
Manoel
Manoel
Luca Sosa
Luca Sosa
Dalbert
Dalbert
Felipe Amaral
Felipe Amaral
Gabriel Barros
Gabriel Barros
Yago Souza
Yago Souza
Fernando Elizari
Fernando Elizari
Guilherme Parede
Guilherme Parede
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares
Rodrigo Soares
Ramon Menezes
Ramon Menezes
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro
Nicolas
Nicolas
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Lourenço
Lourenço
Juninho
Juninho
Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Cadu
Cadu
America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Gustavo
🟨 81'
G
15
Alex Silva
D
26
Manoel
D
3
Luca Sosa
D
29
Dalbert
D
8
Felipe Amaral
↓ 80'
M
11
Gabriel Barros
↓ 46'
M
10
Yago Souza
M
5
Fernando Elizari
↓ 60' 🟨 46'
M
7
Guilherme Parede
↓ 80'
M
20
Paulo Victor
⚽ 61' ↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
🎯 61' ↑ 46'
F
25
Tobías Ostchega
↑ 60'
D
39
Italo Charbaje
↑ 67'
F
32
Filipe Pereira Dahora
↑ 80'
D
93
Jorge Roa Jiménez
↑ 80'
M
91
Bruno Brígido
G
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
30
Luidy
D
61
Gabriel Oliveira
D
13
Heitor
D
38
Murilo Rodrigues Povoa
D
37
Júlio
M
Goias 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
2
Rodrigo Soares
↓ 75'
D
4
Ramon Menezes
D
14
Lucas Ribeiro
D
6
Nicolas
D
5
Filipe Machado
🟨 81'
M
97
Lourenço
↓ 86'
M
8
Juninho
↓ 76'
M
10
Lucas Lima
⚽ 45+7' ↓ 70'
M
21
Jean Carlos
↓ 70'
M
18
Cadu
F
Substitutes
28
Gegê
↑ 70'
M
9
Anselmo Ramon
↑ 70'
F
54
Djalma
↑ 75'
D
15
Esli García
↑ 76'
F
88
Brayann
↑ 86'
M
12
Ezequiel Oliveira
G
25
Luis Fellipe
D
29
Murilo Camara
D
55
Guilherme Baldória
M
Last matches: America Mineiro
24.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
3
L
20.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
16.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
3
L
08.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
21.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Avai
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
Last matches: Goias
28.08.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
2
1
W
22.08.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
15.08.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
0
1
L
10.08.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
H2H: America Mineiro vs Goias
26.07.26
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
22.03.26
H2H
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
L
23.08.25
H2H
Goias
America Mineiro
1
0
L
20.04.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
17.10.24
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
2
2
D
02.07.24
H2H
Goias
America Mineiro
2
1
L
06.12.23
H2H
Goias
America Mineiro
1
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
0
1
L
27.10.22
H2H
Goias
America Mineiro
2
2
D
03.07.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
19.08.17
H2H
Goias
America Mineiro
1
1
D
20.05.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
1
D
13.10.12
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
2
L
14.07.12
H2H
Goias
America Mineiro
2
0
L
Last matches: America Mineiro
16.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
3
L
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
H2H at home: America Mineiro
26.07.26
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
20.04.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
17.10.24
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
2
2
D
13.08.23
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
0
1
L
03.07.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
20.05.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
1
D
13.10.12
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
2
L
Last matches: Goias
22.08.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
H2H away: Goias
26.07.26
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
L
20.04.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
L
17.10.24
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
2
2
D
13.08.23
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
0
1
W
03.07.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
L
20.05.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
1
D
13.10.12
H2H
America Mineiro
Goias
1
2
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11
Goias Away
24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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