COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
Referee: Wilmar Roldan, Colombia
America de Cali
Match Timeline
Junior
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Luis Muriel
Junior
🟨
19'
Luis Quiñones
America de Cali
🔄
30'
Dany Rosero ↔ Cristian Tovar
America de Cali
🔄
30'
Pablo Ortíz ↔ Jean Carlos Pestaña
Junior
🟨
37'
Yhormar Hurtado
America de Cali
40'
Marcos Mina · Assist: Luis Quiñones
America de Cali
🔄
46'
Cristian Barrios ↔ Joel Canchimbo
Junior
🔄
46'
Luis Muriel ↔ Guillermo Paiva
Junior
🔄
46'
Juan David Ríos ↔ Fabián Ángel
Junior
47'
Tomás Ángel · Assist: Luis Quiñones
America de Cali
🟨
61'
Guillermo Celis
Junior
🔄
63'
Marcos Mina ↔ Omar Bertel
America de Cali
🔄
63'
Jan Lucumí ↔ Jhon Murillo
America de Cali
68'
Jhon Murillo · Assist: Josen Escobar
America de Cali
74'
Yani Quintero · Assist: Yeison Guzmán
America de Cali
🔄
74'
Luis Quiñones ↔ Yani Quintero
America de Cali
🟨
78'
Jean Carlos Pestaña
Junior
🟨
81'
Yani Quintero
America de Cali
🔄
82'
Jesús Rivas ↔ Dilan Villareal
Junior
🟨
84'
Guillermo Celis
Junior
🟥
84'
Guillermo Celis
Junior
🟨
85'
Yani Quintero
America de Cali
🟥
85'
Yani Quintero
America de Cali
87'
Fabián Ángel
Junior
🟨
90+5'
Rafael Carrascal
America de Cali
VAR
90'
Fabián Ángel
Junior

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.19
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
1.91
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.19
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.54
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
America de Cali Win 68.3%
Draw 9.8%
Junior Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali1.33
Junior1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
America de Cali America de Cali
WWDLW
41 GF / 23 GA
Junior Junior
WLDWL
45 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
10
BTTS Yes
17
11
Over 2.5
16
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America de Cali America de Cali 30 matches
Junior Junior 34 matches
America de Cali Statistic Junior
16 Wins 14
6 Draws 7
8 Losses 13
41 Goals For 45
23 Goals Against 43
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
10 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 27
11 Over 2.5 16
3 Over 3.5 6
16 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 9
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.09
13.19 Total Shots 12.65
3.58 Corners 4.74
54.5% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Junior. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. America de Cali come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America de Cali expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Junior in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Junior having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

America de Cali Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 19 games, America de Cali bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:15, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Yeison Guzmán (4 goals), Dany Rosero (3 goals), Kevin Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Carrascal (3 assists), Luis Quiñones (2 assists), Tomás Ángel (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Junior Analysis

With 35 points from 19 games and a place of 2, Junior still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 31:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Guillermo Paiva (1 goals), with creative support from Déiber Caicedo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 6 times, Junior won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from America de Cali's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: America de Cali 4-4-2 / Junior 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America de Cali wins 6, draws 3, Junior wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L D L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D W D W W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D D L D W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D W L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
D D W D L
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D D L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D L D W L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D W D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D D W W
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W D W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D L W L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D D L L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W D L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
W D D L L
Post season qualification