Predictions & Statistics

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Castellón controlled more possession in the first leg (61% against 39%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Castellón circulated the ball more often, making 427 passes to 290 and completing 344. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Almeria expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Castellón in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Castellón having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Castellón.

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Almeria won 4 times, Castellón won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Almeria's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.