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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
24.10.2026 21:05
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Alianza Valledupar Win 27.6%
Draw 24%
Internacional de Bogota Win 48.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar1.12
Internacional de Bogota1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
WWDLW
28 GF / 54 GA
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
WLDWL
45 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
18
BTTS Yes
23
15
Over 2.5
20
3.06
Shots on Goal
4.34

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 33 matches
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 36 matches
Alianza Valledupar Statistic Internacional de Bogota
6 Wins 10
12 Draws 15
15 Losses 11
28 Goals For 45
54 Goals Against 55
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
18 BTTS Yes 23
23 Over 1.5 28
15 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 10
3.06 Shots On Goal 4.34
11.34 Total Shots 12.77
4.22 Corners 4.66
44.8% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Internacional de Bogota. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Internacional de Bogota carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 28 points while Alianza Valledupar sit 17 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 17, Alianza Valledupar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Pardo (4 goals), J. Muñoz (3 goals), C. Vergara (3 goals), with creative support from J. Lasso (4 assists), F. Pardo (3 assists), W. Fernández (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

So far, Internacional de Bogota have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 28 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:26 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Sanguinetti (8 goals), F. Boné (5 goals), Dereck Moncada (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sanguinetti (7 assists), F. Boné (3 assists), Dereck Moncada (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 7 times, Internacional de Bogota won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1 / Internacional de Bogota 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Valledupar wins 7, draws 2, Internacional de Bogota wins 6

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D W D L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D D D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W W D L L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D D W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W L D L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W D D W L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W W W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L D W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L D
Post season qualification