ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.3%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aldosivi Win 22.7%
Draw 28%
Tigre Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aldosivi0.75
Tigre1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WWDLW
15 GF / 26 GA
Tigre Tigre
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
10
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
5
2.8
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aldosivi Aldosivi 22 matches
Tigre Tigre 21 matches
Aldosivi Statistic Tigre
2 Wins 6
9 Draws 9
11 Losses 6
15 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 18
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
10 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 8
2.8 Shots On Goal 4.26
10.8 Total Shots 13.68
3.9 Corners 3.95
42.3% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tigre's more proactive style and Aldosivi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tigre. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Aldosivi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tigre carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 20 points while Aldosivi sit 14 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aldosivi expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Tigre in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tigre having the stronger overall control.

Aldosivi Analysis

With 8 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Aldosivi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 6:19, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Tomás Fernández (1 goals), Nicolás Cordero (1 goals), Santiago Moya (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Fernández (1 assists), Lucas Rodríguez (1 assists), Fernando Román (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tigre Analysis

Tigre sit 10 with 20 points after 16 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gonzalo Martínez (1 goals), Joaquin Mosqueira (1 goals), David Romero (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Russo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi won 1 times, Tigre won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:13 from Aldosivi's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Aldosivi 3-4-2-1 / Tigre 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aldosivi wins 1, draws 1, Tigre wins 6
Last matches: Aldosivi
07.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
29.07.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Barracas Central
0
1
L
24.07.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
18.07.26
Cop
Aldosivi
River Plate
3
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
River Plate
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Racing Club
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Belgrano Cordoba
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
31.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Huracan
0
0
D
12.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Banfield
0
2
L
23.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cop
Aldosivi
San Miguel
3
0
W
12.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
1
3
L
Last matches: Tigre
06.08.26
Lig
Tigre
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
01.08.26
Lig
Tigre
Racing Club
3
1
W
25.07.26
Lig
Tigre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
1
L
12.07.26
Cop
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Tigre
Rosario Central
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
0
1
L
21.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Huracan
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
0
0
D
02.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Banfield
0
1
L
16.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Gimnasia L.P.
2
2
D
25.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Barracas Central
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
17.02.26
Cop
Tigre
Claypole
2
0
W
12.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Aldosivi
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Tigre
River Plate
4
1
W
02.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Racing Club
3
1
W
29.01.26
Lig
Tigre
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
H2H: Aldosivi vs Tigre
12.02.26
H2H
Tigre
Aldosivi
1
0
L
21.09.25
H2H
Tigre
Aldosivi
2
0
L
09.03.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
2
L
30.09.22
H2H
Tigre
Aldosivi
3
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
1
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
2
L
03.12.16
H2H
Tigre
Aldosivi
1
1
D
08.06.15
H2H
Tigre
Aldosivi
2
1
L
Last matches: Aldosivi
02.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Racing Club
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
31.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Huracan
0
0
D
17.02.26
Cop
Aldosivi
San Miguel
3
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Barracas Central
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
H2H at home: Aldosivi
09.03.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
2
L
12.03.22
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
1
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
2
L
Last matches: Tigre
01.08.26
Lig
Tigre
Racing Club
3
1
W
25.07.26
Lig
Tigre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
1
L
12.07.26
Cop
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Tigre
Rosario Central
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Banfield
0
1
L
25.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Barracas Central
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Tigre
River Plate
4
1
W
29.01.26
Lig
Tigre
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
H2H away: Tigre
09.03.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
2
W
12.03.22
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
1
0
L
02.09.18
H2H
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
2
W

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L W D L D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L L L L W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W W W L W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D L W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W W L L W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D L W L W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L D W L W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W W L D
10
Tigre Away
16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W L D L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W L L L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D W L W D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D W D W D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L L D D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D L W L L
Knockout Phase