Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.9%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aldosivi Win 22.2%
Draw 4.9%
Atletico Tucuman Win 72.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aldosivi0.86
Atletico Tucuman1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WWDLW
23 GF / 38 GA
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
14
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
14
3.36
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aldosivi Aldosivi 28 matches
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 28 matches
Aldosivi Statistic Atletico Tucuman
3 Wins 9
10 Draws 9
15 Losses 10
23 Goals For 31
38 Goals Against 26
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
14 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 8
3.36 Shots On Goal 3.4
12.12 Total Shots 11.8
4.2 Corners 5.12
42.3% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Tucuman. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aldosivi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Tucuman in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Tucuman having the stronger overall control. Aldosivi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Aldosivi Analysis

With 8 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Aldosivi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 6:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Vombergar (4 goals), T. Fernández (2 goals), F. Román (1 goals), with creative support from T. Fernández (3 assists), F. Román (1 assists), Alan Sosa (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Tucuman Analysis

Atletico Tucuman are currently 13 in the standings with 14 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 15:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Ferreira (2 goals), L. Díaz (2 goals), L. Godoy (1 goals), with creative support from L. Godoy (2 assists), C. Ferreira (1 assists), R. Ruíz Rodríguez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi won 1 times, Atletico Tucuman won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Aldosivi's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Aldosivi 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Aldosivi wins 1, draws 8, Atletico Tucuman wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D D D L W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L D L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D L L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L L L W L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L D D L L
Knockout Phase