URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Luis Franzini

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.9%
1.33
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
1.56
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.20
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Albion FC Win 53.9%
Draw 22%
Boston River Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albion FC1.34
Boston River0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albion FC Albion FC
WWDLW
33 GF / 27 GA
Boston River Boston River
WLDWL
21 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
14
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albion FC Albion FC 24 matches
Boston River Boston River 24 matches
Albion FC Statistic Boston River
9 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
8 Losses 12
33 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 31
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
14 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Albion FC's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Boston River. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Boston River having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Albion FC Analysis

So far, Albion FC have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 34 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Boston River Analysis

So far, Boston River have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 25 points from 23 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 21:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Albion FC won 0 times, Boston River won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Albion FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78%)
Predicted formations: Albion FC - / Boston River 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Albion FC wins 0, draws 2, Boston River wins 3
Last matches: Albion FC
15.08.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
1
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
2
2
D
17.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
Last matches: Boston River
14.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
18.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
4
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
4
1
W
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
H2H: Albion FC vs Boston River
21.02.26
H2H
Boston River
Albion FC
0
0
D
18.01.26
H2H
Boston River
Albion FC
1
1
D
29.10.24
H2H
Albion FC
Boston River
0
2
L
10.09.22
H2H
Boston River
Albion FC
1
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Albion FC
Boston River
1
2
L
Last matches: Albion FC
01.08.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
2
2
D
17.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
26.10.25
Seg
Albion FC
Central Espanol
0
0
D
12.10.25
Seg
Albion FC
Rentistas
4
1
W
27.09.25
Seg
Albion FC
Cerrito
0
0
D
14.09.25
Seg
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
29.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Uruguay Montevideo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Artigas
3
2
W
16.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Rampla Juniors
2
1
W
27.07.25
Seg
Albion FC
Tacuarembo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Albion FC
29.10.24
H2H
Albion FC
Boston River
0
2
L
02.04.22
H2H
Albion FC
Boston River
1
2
L
Last matches: Boston River
09.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
18.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
0
0
D
31.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Miramar
4
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
0
0
D
08.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
H2H away: Boston River
29.10.24
H2H
Albion FC
Boston River
0
2
W
02.04.22
H2H
Albion FC
Boston River
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.27
Draw 3.05
Home 2.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.03
Home 3.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.78
Over 2.25 2.09
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 2.75 2.75
Over 3.5 4.48
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 1.75 2.40
Under 2.0 2.05
Under 2.25 1.74
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.5 1.20
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.00
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.00
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.21
Draw 2.90
Home 2.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.22
Draw 1.87
Home 3.01
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.66
Draw 2.22
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.53
Over 2.0 1.70
Over 2.25 2.02
Over 2.5 2.29
Over 2.75 2.66
Over 3.0 3.42
Over 3.25 3.80
Over 3.5 4.15
Over 3.75 5.21
Over 4.0 7.40
Over 4.25 7.70
Over 4.5 8.10
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.35
Under 0.75 5.80
Under 1.0 5.25
Under 1.25 3.29
Under 1.5 2.56
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 1.94
Under 2.25 1.70
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.25 1.20
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 3.75 1.10
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.25 1.02
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 3.15
Home 2.14
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.12
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.43
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.0 1.52
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 3.0 2.88
Over 3.25 3.20
Over 3.5 3.55
Over 4.0 5.80
Over 4.25 6.10
Over 4.5 6.40
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.0 2.30
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 4 5 37:20 17 46
W W W D W
2 24 13 6 5 40:24 16 45
W D D L D
3 24 12 9 3 31:19 12 45
W D W L D
4 24 11 6 7 30:26 4 39
D W W W W
5 23 11 5 7 34:27 7 38
W L W W L
6 24 10 6 8 29:28 1 36
L W D L D
7 24 9 8 7 30:23 7 35
W W D W L
8 24 11 2 11 35:33 2 35
L L W L D
9 24 9 7 8 33:27 6 34
L L D L D
10 24 8 6 10 25:26 -1 30
D D L W D
11 24 6 9 9 19:25 -6 27
L L W L D
12 24 7 5 12 21:31 -10 26
D W L L D
13 24 7 4 13 17:35 -18 25
W W L W W
14 24 6 6 12 26:35 -9 24
L D D W L
15 24 4 11 9 22:31 -9 23
D L D L D
16 24 4 4 16 18:37 -19 16
L L L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)