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UNITED-ARAB-EMIRATES › PRO LEAGUE
16.10.2026 13:05
Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium
Al-Dhafra
Match Timeline
Dubai United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Othman Ramadan
Dubai United
VAR
33'
Sory Kaba
Al-Dhafra
⚽
33'
Dominique Mendy
Al-Dhafra
VAR
38'
A. Karimi
Dubai United
⚽
40'
Willy Semedo
Dubai United
⚽
41'
Sory Kaba · Assist: Samir De Souza
Al-Dhafra
🔄
45'
Hussain Abbas Juma ↔ Pape Guèye
Dubai United
🔄
45'
Moustapha Name ↔ Mahmoud Dahoud
Dubai United
⚽
48'
Sory Kaba · Assist: Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Alhammadi
Al-Dhafra
🟨
56'
Ezeckiel Noumonvi
Al-Dhafra
🔄
56'
Jonas Naafo ↔ Haris Seferović
Dubai United
🔄
62'
Khaled Bawazir ↔ Marcelinho
Al-Dhafra
⚽
68'
Daraman Komari · Assist: Sory Kaba
Al-Dhafra
🔄
72'
Willy Semedo ↔ Cedrick Steve Nana Djeunou
Dubai United
🔄
82'
Sory Kaba ↔ Karim El Berkaoui
Al-Dhafra
🔄
82'
Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Alhammadi ↔ Arielson Sampaio·Galvao
Al-Dhafra
⚽
90+1'
Arielson Sampaio·Galvao · Assist: Ezeckiel Noumonvi
Al-Dhafra
🔄
90+4'
Ezeckiel Noumonvi ↔ Vinicius Lima Serafim
Al-Dhafra
🔄
90+4'
Mohamed El Khaloui ↔ Adem Ben Fajria
Al-Dhafra

Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 75%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
75%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.69 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Dhafra Win 25%
Draw 27.6%
Dubai United Win 47.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Dhafra1.34
Dubai United2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Dhafra Al-Dhafra
WWDLW
4 GF / 13 GA
Dubai United Dubai United
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
3
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
4.6
Shots on Goal
1.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Dhafra Al-Dhafra 7 matches
Dubai United Dubai United 6 matches
Al-Dhafra Statistic Dubai United
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 3
4 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 15
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
3 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 0
4.6 Shots On Goal 1.6
11.6 Total Shots 3.2
3.4 Corners 1.6
48.6% Ball Possession 18.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Dhafra have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Dubai United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Dhafra expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Dubai United in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dubai United having the stronger overall control. Dubai United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 7 points while Al-Dhafra sit 12 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Al-Dhafra Analysis

Al-Dhafra sit 12 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 3:9, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through R. Djooh (1 goals), with creative support from Abdullah Al Karbi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dubai United Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Dubai United have collected 7 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Karimi (2 goals), Adeel Al Chadli (1 goals), E. Maouhoub (1 goals), with creative support from Adeel Al Chadli (1 assists), B. Nagoro (1 assists), S. Babicka (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Al-Dhafra won 3 times, Dubai United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Al-Dhafra's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75%)
Predicted formations: Al-Dhafra 5-4-1 / Dubai United 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Al-Dhafra wins 3, draws 1, Dubai United wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 13:4 9 14
D D W W W
2 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
W D L W W
3 6 4 1 1 17:6 11 13
W D W L W
4 6 4 1 1 12:7 5 13
L D W W W
5 6 4 0 2 9:7 2 12
W W W W L
6 6 4 0 2 13:8 5 12
W L W W L
7 6 3 0 3 12:15 -3 9
L L W L W
8 6 2 2 2 8:7 1 8
W D L L W
9 6 2 1 3 13:18 -5 7
L D L W W
10 6 2 0 4 8:10 -2 6
W W L L L
11 6 1 2 3 8:15 -7 5
D W L L L
12 6 1 1 4 7:15 -8 4
L D L W L
13 6 1 0 5 5:13 -8 3
L L W L L
14 6 0 1 5 5:12 -7 1
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - Division 1