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ITALY › SERIE A
28.08.2026 18:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello, Italy
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Venezia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Joel Schingtienne
Venezia
🔄
45+3'
B. Franjic ↔ R. Halhal
Venezia
🟨
48'
Kike Pérez
Venezia
🟨
54'
Ridgeciano Haps
Venezia
🔄
59'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↔ A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
59'
A. Cisse ↔ A. Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
65'
T. Basic ↔ S. Sohm
Venezia
🔄
66'
R. Haps ↔ T. Correia
Venezia
⚽
69'
G. Ramos · Assist: A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🟨
71'
Strahinja Pavlović
AC Milan
🔄
74'
L. Modric ↔ A. Jashari
AC Milan
🔄
80'
J. Yeboah ↔ L. Lauberbach
Venezia
🔄
80'
K. Perez ↔ A. Rrahmani
Venezia
🔄
87'
D. Bartesaghi ↔ P. Estupinan
AC Milan
🔄
87'
M. Gila ↔ M. Gabbia
AC Milan
⚽
89'
R. Halhal
AC Milan

AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 17.8%
Draw 7.3%
Venezia Win 74.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.76
Venezia2.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Venezia Venezia
WLDWL
23 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
3.29
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
8.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 5 matches
Venezia Venezia 7 matches
AC Milan Statistic Venezia
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
9 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 12
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 3.29
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 8.5
19 Total Shots 21
4 Corners 7.5
59% Ball Possession 67%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 5 times, Venezia won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:0 from AC Milan's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Venezia 3-5-2
Missing players: AC Milan 4, Venezia 3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 5, draws 0, Venezia wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:8 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W D W W
3 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
D D W W W
4 6 4 1 1 6:3 3 13
D W W W L
5 6 3 3 0 11:5 6 12
D W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 9:5 4 11
D W L D W
7 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
8 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
W D W L L
9 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
L W D W W
10 6 3 0 3 8:8 0 9
W L L L W
11 6 2 2 2 10:10 0 8
D L W D W
12 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
W D L W L
13 6 2 0 4 6:12 -6 6
L L W L L
14 6 1 2 3 5:7 -2 5
W D L D L
15 6 1 1 4 9:13 -4 4
L L L L W
16 6 1 1 4 9:15 -6 4
L W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
W L D L L
18 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
19 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
20 6 0 0 6 5:16 -11 0
L L L L L
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