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05.08.2026 11:00
Optus Stadium
Referee: L. Keevers
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Y. Bisseck
Inter
🔄
46'
A. Cisse ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🔄
46'
D. Bartesaghi ↔ P. Estupinan
AC Milan
🔄
46'
A. Stankovic ↔ H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
46'
J. Iddrissou ↔ M. Lavelli
Inter
⚽
52'
F. Dimarco · Assist: N. Barella
Inter
🔄
63'
Y. Fofana ↔ L. Modric
AC Milan
🔄
63'
Y. Musah ↔ A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
63'
F. Camarda ↔ G. Ramos
AC Milan
🔄
63'
F. Tomori ↔ F. Terracciano
AC Milan
🔄
63'
S. Pavlovic ↔ V. Vladimirov
AC Milan
🔄
63'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↔ R. Leao
AC Milan
🔄
63'
S. Chukwueze ↔ K. De Winter
AC Milan
🔄
63'
M. Gabbia ↔ A. Jashari
AC Milan
🔄
70'
J. Martinez ↔ I. Provedel
Inter
🔄
70'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Inter
🔄
70'
P. Zielinski ↔ H. Calhanoglu
Inter
🔄
70'
A. Bastoni ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🔄
70'
F. Esposito ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
🔄
71'
A. Diouf ↔ Luis Henrique
Inter
🔄
76'
B. Pavard ↔ L. Bovio
Inter
🔄
80'
F. Dimarco ↔ Y. Maye
Inter
⚽
84'
C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🟨
90+3'
P. Estupinan
AC Milan
🔄
90+5'
Y. Bisseck ↔ M. Mosconi
Inter

AC Milan vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 24.8%
Draw 5.5%
Inter Win 69.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.6
Inter1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 1 matches
Inter Inter 2 matches
AC Milan Statistic Inter
0 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 3
2 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 6 times, Inter won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from AC Milan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 6, draws 3, Inter wins 6