GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
1. FC Nürnberg
FT
1 - 0
1. FC Magdeburg
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Referee: P. Schwengers
1. FC Nürnberg
Match Timeline
1. FC Magdeburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45'
R. Lubach · Assist: H. Koudossou
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
54'
Herbert Bockhorn
1. FC Magdeburg
🟨
56'
Rafael Lubach
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
61'
A. Grimaldi ↔ P. Scobel
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
70'
Lubambo Musonda
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
71'
H. Bockhorn ↔ P. Hercher
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
71'
M. Geschwill ↔ J. Hugonet
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
72'
A. Holmstrom ↔ M. Breunig
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
73'
R. Lubach ↔ T. Baack
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
79'
Marcus Mathisen
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
82'
J. Fernandez ↔ T. Buchmann
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
83'
F. O. Becker ↔ R. Nzingoula
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
83'
J. Justvan ↔ M. Soldic
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
87'
S. Gnaka ↔ R. Ghrieb
1. FC Magdeburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
80%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
1. FC Nürnberg Win 48.7%
Draw 9.9%
1. FC Magdeburg Win 41.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Nürnberg1.51
1. FC Magdeburg1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
WWDLW
39 GF / 41 GA
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
WLDWL
48 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
19
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
17
4.37
Shots on Goal
5.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 30 matches
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 30 matches
1. FC Nürnberg Statistic 1. FC Magdeburg
10 Wins 10
8 Draws 3
12 Losses 17
39 Goals For 48
41 Goals Against 55
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
19 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 10
4.37 Shots On Goal 5.57
12.43 Total Shots 16.1
5.17 Corners 5.4
48.9% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Magdeburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Nürnberg expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and 1. FC Magdeburg in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Magdeburg having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

1. FC Nürnberg Analysis

1. FC Nürnberg sit 9 with 38 points after 30 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 38:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. A. Zoma (11 goals), J. Justvan (7 goals), R. Lubach (5 goals), with creative support from J. Justvan (7 assists), Berkay Yılmaz (6 assists), M. A. Zoma (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1. FC Magdeburg Analysis

1. FC Magdeburg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 33 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 46:55 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mateusz Żukowski (17 goals), Barış Atik (5 goals), R. Ghrieb (4 goals), with creative support from Barış Atik (11 assists), Mateusz Żukowski (3 assists), L. Ulrich (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 4 times, 1. FC Magdeburg won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from 1. FC Nürnberg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: 1. FC Nürnberg 4-1-3-2 / 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
H2H summary: 1. FC Nürnberg wins 4, draws 1, 1. FC Magdeburg wins 3
Stats
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
392 Total passes 414
324 Passes accurate 336
1.79 expected_goals 0.45
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

1. FC Nürnberg
Formation
1. FC Magdeburg
J. Reichert
J. Reichert
H. Koudossou
🎯
H. Koudossou
F. Gruber
F. Gruber
L. Lochoshvili
L. Lochoshvili
B. Yilmaz
B. Yilmaz
A. Markhiev
A. Markhiev
J. Fernandez
↓
J. Fernandez
J. Justvan
↓
J. Justvan
F. O. Becker
↓
F. O. Becker
R. Lubach
⚽ ↓
R. Lubach
A. Grimaldi
↓
A. Grimaldi
D. Reimann
D. Reimann
H. Bockhorn
↓
H. Bockhorn
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
M. Geschwill
↓
M. Geschwill
L. Musonda
L. Musonda
L. Ulrich
L. Ulrich
F. Michel
F. Michel
S. Gnaka
↓
S. Gnaka
A. Nollenberger
A. Nollenberger
A. Holmstrom
↓
A. Holmstrom
B. Atik
B. Atik
1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Reichert
G
8
H. Koudossou
🎯 45'
D
4
F. Gruber
D
24
L. Lochoshvili
D
21
B. Yilmaz
D
6
A. Markhiev
M
20
J. Fernandez
↓ 82'
M
10
J. Justvan
↓ 83'
M
25
F. O. Becker
↓ 83'
M
18
R. Lubach
⚽ 45' ↓ 73' 🟨 56'
M
33
A. Grimaldi
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
26
C. Mathenia
G
5
T. Baack
↑ 73'
M
28
T. Buchmann
↑ 82'
D
39
P. Scobel
↑ 61'
F
32
T. Janisch
D
22
R. Nzingoula
↑ 83'
M
37
N. Maboulou
F
41
E. Porstner
D
16
M. Soldic
↑ 83'
M
1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
D. Reimann
G
7
H. Bockhorn
↓ 71' 🟨 54'
D
16
M. Mathisen
🟨 79'
D
28
M. Geschwill
↓ 71'
D
19
L. Musonda
🟨 70'
D
8
L. Ulrich
M
21
F. Michel
M
25
S. Gnaka
↓ 87'
M
17
A. Nollenberger
F
11
A. Holmstrom
↓ 72'
F
23
B. Atik
F
Substitutes
40
R. Kampa
G
27
P. Hercher
↑ 71'
D
18
R. Tachie
F
9
M. Breunig
↑ 72'
F
4
E. Dzogovic
D
24
J. Hugonet
↑ 71'
M
10
N. Pesch
F
6
D. Stalmach
M
29
R. Ghrieb
↑ 87'
F
Last matches: 1. FC Nürnberg
17.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
3
3
D
09.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
03.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
18.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
1
1
D
11.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
0
2
L
05.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
21.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
14.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
3
2
W
07.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
1
L
01.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
1
2
L
20.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
13.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
5
1
W
07.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
30.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
23.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
17.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg
3
2
W
21.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
2
1
W
14.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
07.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
2
D
29.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
0
3
L
Last matches: 1. FC Magdeburg
17.05.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
09.05.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
3
1
W
03.05.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
1
0
W
18.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
0
W
12.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SC Paderborn 07
3
4
L
04.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
VfL Bochum
4
1
W
22.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Preußen Münster
3
1
W
13.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Darmstadt 98
1
1
D
06.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
01.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
21.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
FC Schalke 04
3
5
L
15.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Arminia Bielefeld
0
2
L
06.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5
4
W
30.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
1
2
L
24.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
16.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
1. FC Magdeburg
SSV Ulm 1846
4
2
W
06.01.26
Fri
1. FC Magdeburg
FC Winterthur
2
1
W
20.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
2
W
13.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
3
3
D
H2H: 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg
26.04.26
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Nürnberg
3
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Nürnberg
3
4
W
31.08.24
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
0
4
L
09.03.24
H2H
FC Magdeburg
FC Nurnberg
0
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
FC Nurnberg
FC Magdeburg
1
0
L
12.05.23
H2H
FC Magdeburg
FC Nurnberg
2
2
D
06.11.22
H2H
FC Nurnberg
FC Magdeburg
1
2
W
Last matches: 1. FC Nürnberg
09.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
11.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
0
2
L
21.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
07.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
1
L
13.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
5
1
W
30.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
17.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg
3
2
W
21.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
2
1
W
07.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
2
D
23.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
2
0
W
01.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
1
W
19.10.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
1
1
D
28.09.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
0
3
L
20.09.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
2
1
W
29.08.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SC Paderborn 07
0
0
D
08.08.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
1
L
09.05.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
04.05.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg
1
3
L
19.04.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SC Paderborn 07
2
3
L
05.04.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hamburger SV
0
3
L
H2H at home: 1. FC Nürnberg
26.04.26
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
0
4
L
Last matches: 1. FC Magdeburg
09.05.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
3
1
W
12.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SC Paderborn 07
3
4
L
22.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Preußen Münster
3
1
W
06.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
21.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
FC Schalke 04
3
5
L
06.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5
4
W
16.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
0
W
20.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
2
W
07.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
2
0
W
22.11.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
02.11.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
19.10.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
0
D
27.09.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
0
1
L
12.09.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Arminia Bielefeld
0
2
L
23.08.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
1
3
L
09.08.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
10.05.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
25.04.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
1
1
D
12.04.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
29.03.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
0
0
D
H2H away: 1. FC Magdeburg
26.04.26
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
L
31.08.24
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
0
4
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
FC Schalke 04
34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2
SV Elversberg
34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3
SC Paderborn 07
34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4
Hannover 96
34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5
SV Darmstadt 98
34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7
Hertha BSC
34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8
1. FC Nürnberg Home
34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9
VfL Bochum
34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10
Karlsruher SC
34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11
Dynamo Dresden
34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12
Holstein Kiel
34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13
Arminia Bielefeld
34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14
1. FC Magdeburg Away
34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15
Eintracht Braunschweig
34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17
Fortuna Düsseldorf
34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18
Preußen Münster
34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L