BRAZIL › SERIE A
05.02.2026 22:00
Arena Fonte Nova
Referee: M. Delgado
Bahia
Match Timeline
Fluminense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
John Kennedy · Assist: Nonato
Fluminense
🟨
53'
Nonato
Fluminense
🔄
60'
Nonato ↔ F. Bernal
Fluminense
🔄
62'
Nicolas Acevedo ↔ Caio Alexandre
Bahia
🔄
62'
Jean Lucas ↔ Erick
Bahia
🔄
62'
Erick Pulga ↔ C. Olivera
Bahia
🟨
66'
Jemmes
Fluminense
🔄
69'
Ademir ↔ M. Sanabria
Bahia
⚽
78'
C. Olivera
Bahia
🔄
79'
Willian Jose ↔ Dell
Bahia
🔄
79'
L. Acosta ↔ PH Ganso
Fluminense
🔄
79'
K. Serna ↔ S. Moreno
Fluminense
VAR
86'
Dell
Bahia
🟥
88'
Dell
Bahia
🔄
89'
Rene ↔ Guilherme Arana
Fluminense
🔄
89'
Martinelli ↔ Lima
Fluminense
🟨
90'
Lima
Fluminense

Bahia vs Fluminense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.6
Fluminense1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
2 GF / 1 GA
Fluminense Fluminense
WLDWL
2 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
6
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 1 matches
Fluminense Fluminense 1 matches
Bahia Statistic Fluminense
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 2
1 Goals Against 1
2 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 6
11 Total Shots 10
6 Corners 3
41% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 4 times, Fluminense won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Bahia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 4, draws 3, Fluminense wins 8

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5
Bahia Home
28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B