SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
26.09.2026 11:00
Edsborgs IP

Trollhättan vs Tvååker Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trollhättan Win 53.2%
Draw 8.1%
Tvååker Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trollhättan1.56
Tvååker1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trollhättan Trollhättan
WWDLW
60 GF / 59 GA
Tvååker Tvååker
WLDWL
58 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
24
BTTS Yes
16
21
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trollhättan Trollhättan 34 matches
Tvååker Tvååker 30 matches
Trollhättan Statistic Tvååker
14 Wins 14
9 Draws 7
11 Losses 9
60 Goals For 58
59 Goals Against 38
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
24 BTTS Yes 16
29 Over 1.5 20
21 Over 2.5 18
15 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Trollhättan's more proactive style and Tvååker's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Trollhättan come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tvååker having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tvååker.

Trollhättan Analysis

Trollhättan are currently 8 in the standings with 31 points from 22 matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 36:34 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Tvååker Analysis

So far, Tvååker have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 33 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 30:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trollhättan won 5 times, Tvååker won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Trollhättan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Trollhättan wins 5, draws 6, Tvååker wins 4

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 49:27 22 48
W W W L W
2 23 13 3 7 43:27 16 42
L W L W W
3 23 12 6 5 46:33 13 42
W L W D L
4 23 11 8 4 46:27 19 41
L W W D W
5 23 9 8 6 42:34 8 35
W L D D D
6 23 9 8 6 39:33 6 35
D L L W W
7 23 9 7 7 37:34 3 34
W W W W L
8 23 9 6 8 29:22 7 33
W W D L W
9 23 9 6 8 30:33 -3 33
L L D W D
10 23 9 3 11 40:44 -4 30
D W L W L
11 23 8 5 10 38:42 -4 29
D W L L L
12 23 6 9 8 26:35 -9 27
L L W W D
13 23 6 6 11 28:36 -8 24
W L D L W
14 23 6 4 13 30:41 -11 22
L D W L D
15 23 3 9 11 27:43 -16 18
D L L L L
16 23 1 6 16 18:57 -39 9
L D L D L