RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
05.09.2026 13:30
Gazprom Arena
Referee: Andrey Prokopov, Russia
Zenit
Match Timeline
CSKA Moscow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
João Victor
CSKA Moscow
🟨
19'
Kirill Glebov
CSKA Moscow
🟨
30'
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
CSKA Moscow
🟨
43'
Kevin Andrade
Zenit
🟨
45+6'
Aleksandr Sobolev
Zenit
VAR
45+5'
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
CSKA Moscow
45'
I. Oblyakov
CSKA Moscow
🟨
46'
Maksim Glushenkov
Zenit
🔄
46'
Gustavo Mantuan ↔ S. Volkov
Zenit
🔄
64'
R. Vega ↔ Douglas Santos
Zenit
🔄
64'
W. Barrios ↔ Pedrinho
Zenit
🔄
68'
L. Gondou ↔ T. Musaev
CSKA Moscow
🔄
73'
Jhon Jhon ↔ Felipe Augusto
Zenit
🔄
81'
M. Azzi ↔ I. Firov
CSKA Moscow
84'
A. Sobolev · Assist: Luiz Henrique
Zenit
🟨
89'
Nuraly Alip
Zenit
🔄
89'
Luiz Henrique ↔ A. Erokhin
Zenit
90'
I. Oblyakov
CSKA Moscow

Zenit vs CSKA Moscow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.78
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.4%
1.58
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.78
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.27
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Zenit Win 63.4%
Draw 11.4%
CSKA Moscow Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zenit2.02
CSKA Moscow1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zenit Zenit
WWDLW
46 GF / 15 GA
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WLDWL
30 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
8
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
10
5.17
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zenit Zenit 20 matches
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 18 matches
Zenit Statistic CSKA Moscow
14 Wins 6
3 Draws 8
3 Losses 4
46 Goals For 30
15 Goals Against 29
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
8 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
5.17 Shots On Goal 5.67
15 Total Shots 17
4.83 Corners 4.67
59.5% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CSKA Moscow. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zenit expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA Moscow in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Moscow having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 9 points after 5 outings. With 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Maksim Glushenkov (5 goals), Aleksandr Sobolev (2 goals), with creative support from Maksim Glushenkov (1 assists), Pedro (1 assists), Jhon Jhon (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

CSKA Moscow come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 12 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 9:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano Gondou (2 goals), Kirill Glebov (1 goals), Matheus Alves (1 goals), with creative support from Luciano Gondou (1 assists), Kirill Glebov (1 assists), Matheus Alves (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Zenit won 4 times, CSKA Moscow won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Zenit's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Zenit 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Zenit 3, CSKA Moscow 4
H2H summary: Zenit wins 4, draws 8, CSKA Moscow wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5
Zenit Home
9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL