CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yunnan Yukun Win 44.7%
Draw 6.1%
Henan Jianye Win 49.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yunnan Yukun1.61
Henan Jianye1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WWDLW
34 GF / 35 GA
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WLDWL
16 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
13
BTTS Yes
7
14
Over 2.5
8
5.06
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 18 matches
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 15 matches
Yunnan Yukun Statistic Henan Jianye
6 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 6
34 Goals For 16
35 Goals Against 18
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
13 BTTS Yes 7
16 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
5.06 Shots On Goal 3.47
14.44 Total Shots 11.33
4.25 Corners 5.8
50.9% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Yunnan Yukun's more proactive style and Henan Jianye's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yunnan Yukun expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Henan Jianye in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Henan Jianye having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Henan Jianye. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 21 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 27:24 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through O. Taty Maritu (11 goals), Cleber (4 goals), A. Ionita II (3 goals), with creative support from A. Ionita II (9 assists), Cleber (4 assists), O. Taty Maritu (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Henan Jianye Analysis

Henan Jianye sit 11 with 15 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 16:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo (5 goals), Bruno Nazario (3 goals), Zhong Yihao (2 goals), with creative support from Gustavo (3 assists), Zhong Yihao (2 assists), Wang Shangyuan (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Yunnan Yukun won 1 times, Henan Jianye won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Yunnan Yukun's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3 / Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Yunnan Yukun wins 1, draws 1, Henan Jianye wins 1
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
5
5
D
Last matches: Henan Jianye
30.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
15.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Chengdu Better City
0
3
L
05.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
4
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
0
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shandong Luneng
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
1
W
H2H: Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye
15.03.26
H2H
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
1
1
D
26.06.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
H2H at home: Yunnan Yukun
26.06.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
Last matches: Henan Jianye
23.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
09.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Chengdu Better City
0
3
L
05.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
22.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
1
W
H2H away: Henan Jianye
26.06.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
L

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 1 2 33:13 20 37
W L L W W
2 15 6 6 3 19:16 3 24
L W D L D
3 15 7 1 7 21:25 -4 22
L W D L L
4 16 6 3 7 29:28 1 21
L D L D W
5 15 7 3 5 25:25 0 18
L D L W W
6 15 3 9 3 17:23 -6 18
D W D W D
7 15 6 4 5 20:23 -3 17
W L W D D
8 15 5 2 8 20:23 -3 17
W W W D L
9 15 5 2 8 20:25 -5 17
W W D L L
10 15 5 5 5 26:23 3 15
W L D W D
11 15 6 3 6 16:18 -2 15
L W W W L
12 15 6 5 4 29:24 5 13
D L D L D
13 16 6 2 8 26:27 -1 13
W L L L L
14 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 12
L D W D D
15 15 2 7 6 22:30 -8 8
D D D D D
16 15 3 6 6 19:21 -2 5
W D L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One