Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
69.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
81.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
Orense SC
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Orense SC
18 matches
Emelec
18 matches
| Orense SC | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 22 | Goals For | 14 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.78 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.89 | Shots On Goal | 2.94 |
| 9.78 | Total Shots | 10.33 |
| 3.17 | Corners | 4.56 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 45.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orense SC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Emelec in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Emelec having the stronger overall control. Orense SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Emelec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Orense SC sit 10 with 23 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Herrera (5 goals), Erick Zambrano (2 goals), Sergio Vásquez (2 goals), with creative support from Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Valentín Burgoa (2 assists), A. Herrera (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 18 matches, Emelec have collected 21 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 14:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luca Klimowicz (4 goals), Romario Caicedo (2 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from Angelo Mina (2 assists), Francisco Pizzini (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Orense SC won 2 times, Emelec won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Orense SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Orense SC
1
5
3
4
3
2
Lineups
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Macara
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Orense SC
Home
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 13 |
Emelec
Away
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|