Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
70%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Louis City
18 matches
Sporting Kansas City
20 matches
| St. Louis City | Statistic | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 20 | Goals For | 19 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.1 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.29 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.57 | Total Shots | 9.29 |
| 5.93 | Corners | 3.64 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. St. Louis City appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Sporting Kansas City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sporting Kansas City in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Kansas City having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting Kansas City. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
St. Louis City are currently 12 in the standings with 16 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 16:20 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Hartel (3 goals), Christopher Durkin (2 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), E. Lowen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with R. Burki, J. Orozco, C. Durkin unavailable.
Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 14 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 14:36, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Joveljic (6 goals), C. Harris (2 goals), Capita (1 goals), with creative support from C. Harris (3 assists), M. Garcia (3 assists), S. Afrifa (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Miller, K. Agyabeng, M. Mosquera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 4 times, Sporting Kansas City won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from St. Louis City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 34 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
St. Louis City
Home
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 34 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 31:28 | 3 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:41 | -13 | 24 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Away
|
22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20:54 | -34 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
L
|