WORLD FRIENDLIES
24.09.2026 10:05
Miyagi Stadium

Japan vs Uruguay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Japan Win 42.4%
Draw 26.7%
Uruguay Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Japan1.34
Uruguay0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Japan Japan
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
Uruguay Uruguay
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
1
4.14
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Japan Japan 7 matches
Uruguay Uruguay 5 matches
Japan Statistic Uruguay
4 Wins 0
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 1
11 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 5
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
4.14 Shots On Goal 3
10.57 Total Shots 13.8
3.86 Corners 6.4
46.4% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Japan won 1 times, Uruguay won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Japan's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.3%)
Predicted formations: Japan 3-4-2-1 / Uruguay 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Japan wins 1, draws 2, Uruguay wins 0